#NZDJPY @ 87.2670 has refreshed a two-week high at 87.40 as RBNZ has pushed interest rates to 4.25%. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- NZD/JPY has refreshed a two-week high at 87.40 as RBNZ has pushed interest rates to 4.25%.
- The RBNZ has elevated its OCR by 75 bps after five consecutive 50 bps hikes.
- Japanese markets are closed on account of Thanksgiving Day.
The pair currently trades last at 87.2670.
The previous day high was 87.04 while the previous day low was 86.62. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 86.88, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 86.78, expected to provide support.
The NZD/JPY pair has displayed a firm perpendicular move to 87.40 after a bigger rate hike announcement by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). The New Zealand central bank has ditched the 50 basis points (bps) structure after deploying it consecutively five times. RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr has pushed the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 4.25%.
The decision has remained in line with the expectations as a battle against a historic surge in inflationary pressures demands an extremely restrictive monetary policy. The inflation rate for the third quarter was recorded at 7.2%.
It seems that the unavailability of significant exhaustion signals in the price growth has forced the central bank to play with big chips. However, a significant hike in the OCR has left less room for more rate hikes, which will shift more responsibilities on economic dynamics to play ahead. The catalyst which has also led to a significant jump in the cross is the consideration of a 100 bps rate hike by RBNZ policymakers. An ‘extremely-hawkish’ stance considered by the central bank has infused fresh blood into the Kiwi Dollar.
Meanwhile, rising Covid-19 infections in China are still a major concern ahead. Economic projections for the dragon economy have been hit hard. This could impact the Kiwi Dollar, being the leading trading partner of China.
On the Tokyo front, investors are awaiting the release of the PMI numbers, which will release on Thursday. The Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI is seen as stable at 50.7. While Services PMI is expected to decline marginally to 53.1. Investors should be aware that Japanese markets are closed on Wednesday on account of Thanksgiving Day.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
NZDJPY currently trading at 87.0 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 86.88 and is trading with a change of 0.14 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 87.00 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.12 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.14 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 86.88 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 86.03, 50 SMA 84.48, 100 SMA @ 84.79 and 200 SMA @ 83.92.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 86.03 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 84.48 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 84.79 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 83.92 |
The previous day high was 87.04 while the previous day low was 86.62. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 86.88, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 86.78, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 86.65, 86.42, 86.23
- Pivot resistance is noted at 87.07, 87.27, 87.5
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 87.04 |
| Previous Daily Low | 86.62 |
| Previous Weekly High | 86.74 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 84.67 |
| Previous Monthly High | 86.51 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 80.70 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 86.88 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 86.78 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 86.65 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 86.42 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 86.23 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 87.07 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 87.27 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 87.50 |
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