#AUDUSD @ 0.66636 gains some follow-through traction on Wednesday amid the prevalent USD selling bias. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDUSD @ 0.66636 gains some follow-through traction on Wednesday amid the prevalent USD selling bias. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/USD gains some follow-through traction on Wednesday amid the prevalent USD selling bias.
  • Bets for less aggressive Fed rate hikes and stability in the equity markets weigh on the greenback.
  • Investors now look to the US macro data for some impetus ahead of the FOMC meeting minutes.

The pair currently trades last at 0.66636.

The previous day high was 0.6652 while the previous day low was 0.6596. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.663, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6618, expected to provide support.

The AUD/USD pair attracts some buying near the 0.6630 area on Wednesday and climbs to a two-day high during the early European session, albeit lacks follow-through. The pair is currently placed just above the 0.6650 level and remains well supported by modest US Dollar weakness.

In fact, the USD Index, which measures the greenback’s performance against a basket of currencies, is seen extending its pullback from over a one-week high and losing ground for the second straight day. Growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of its policy-tightening cycle turns out to be a key factor that continues to weigh on the greenback. Apart from this, stability in the equity markets further undermines the safe-haven buck and benefits the risk-sensitive Aussie.

That said, concerns about the potential economic headwinds stemming from a spike in new COVID-19 cases in China and the imposition of fresh lockdowns keep a lid on the optimism. Furthermore, the recent hawkish remarks by several Fed officials suggest that the US central bank might continue to raise borrowing costs to tame inflation. This, in turn, should limit any deeper losses for the buck and cap the upside for the AUD/USD pair. Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive bets and prefer to wait for a fresh catalyst from the release of the November FOMC meeting minutes.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that the pullback from over a two-month high touched last week has run its course and positioning for any further gains. Heading into the key event risk, traders on Wednesday might take cues from the US macro data – Durable Goods Orders and the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims. This, along with the broader risk sentiment, will influence the USD demand and provide some impetus to the AUD/USD pair.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6659 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6646 and is trading with a change of 0.2 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6659
1 Today Daily Change 0.0013
2 Today Daily Change % 0.2000
3 Today daily open 0.6646

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6541, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6487 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6691 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6942

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6541
1 Daily SMA50 0.6487
2 Daily SMA100 0.6691
3 Daily SMA200 0.6942

The previous day high was 0.6652 while the previous day low was 0.6596. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.663, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6618, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6611, 0.6576, 0.6556
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6666, 0.6686, 0.6721
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6652
Previous Daily Low 0.6596
Previous Weekly High 0.6798
Previous Weekly Low 0.6634
Previous Monthly High 0.6548
Previous Monthly Low 0.6170
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6630
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6618
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6611
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6576
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6556
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6666
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6686
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6721

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