#XAGUSD @ 21.044 Silver price fades bounce off 100-SMA, retreats from three-day-old resistance line., @nehcap view: Further weakness expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Silver price fades bounce off 100-SMA, retreats from three-day-old resistance line.
- Bearish RSI divergence keeps sellers hopeful to aim for 200-SMA.
- Monthly support line adds to the downside filters, buyers need validation from $21.30.
The pair currently trades last at 21.044.
The previous day high was 21.02 while the previous day low was 20.58. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 20.75, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 20.85, expected to provide support.
Silver price (XAG/USD) retreats from intraday high as sellers approach $21.00 during early Tuesday morning in Europe.
In doing so, the bright metal eases from a downward sloping trend line from Thursday while consolidating the first daily gains in six.
It’s worth noting that the lower high formation in the last three days join higher-high on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) placed at 14, which in turn portrays a hidden bearish divergence and suggests further downside of the metal.
That said, the 100-SMA level surrounding $20.80 acts as an immediate support ahead of directing the XAG/USD bears towards the $20.00 psychological magnet.
In a case where silver sellers keep the reins past $20.00, the 200-SMA and one-month-old ascending trend line, respectively near $19.95 and $19.80, could challenge the bearish bias for the metal.
Alternatively, sustained trading beyond the aforementioned resistance line, close to $21.15 at the latest, could tease the XAG/USD buyers.
Even so, October’s peak and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the metal’s upside between October and November, near $21.30, could challenge the silver bulls before directing them to the monthly high of $22.25.
Trend: Further weakness expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAGUSD currently trading at 21.08 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 20.86 and is trading with a change of 1.05% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 21.08 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.22 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 1.05% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 20.86 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 20.52, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 19.8 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 19.52 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 21.42
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 20.52 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 19.80 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 19.52 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 21.42 |
The previous day high was 21.02 while the previous day low was 20.58. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 20.75, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 20.85, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 20.63, 20.39, 20.19
- Pivot resistance is noted at 21.06, 21.25, 21.49
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 21.02 |
| Previous Daily Low | 20.58 |
| Previous Weekly High | 22.25 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 20.75 |
| Previous Monthly High | 21.24 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 18.09 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 20.75 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 20.85 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 20.63 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 20.39 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 20.19 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 21.06 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 21.25 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 21.49 |
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