#USDJPY @ 141.912 retreats from 11-week-old previous support, snaps four-day downtrend., @nehcap view: Limited downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/JPY retreats from 11-week-old previous support, snaps four-day downtrend.
- Convergence of 100-DMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement level challenge bears.
- Golden ratio appears the key for bearish confirmation, monthly resistance line adds to the upside filters.
The pair currently trades last at 141.912.
The previous day high was 142.25 while the previous day low was 140.16. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 141.45, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 140.96, expected to provide support.
USD/JPY takes offers to refresh intraday low near 141.70 heading into Tuesday’s European session.
In doing so, the Yen pair reverses from the previous support line stretched from early September, around 142.25 by the press time, amid bearish MACD signals.
The pullback moves, however, appear shallow as a confluence of the 100-Day Moving Average (DMA) and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s August-October upside, near the 141.00 round figure, challenge the USD/JPY bears.
Even if the Yen pair sellers dominate past 141.00, the 140.00 threshold and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 138.60, also known as the Golden Ratio, could restrict the quote’s further downside.
Following that, the early August high near 135.50 could regain the market’s attention.
On the contrary, an upside break of the support-turned-resistance line near 142.25 won’t be an open invitation to the USD/JPY bears as a downwards-sloping resistance line from late October, close to 143.45, could challenge the upside momentum.
In a case where USD/JPY remains firmer past 143.45, multiple hurdles around 145.10 appear the last defense of the pair sellers.
To sum up, USD/JPY retreats from short-term key hurdle but the overall view remains bullish.
Trend: Limited downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 141.72 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 142.07 and is trading with a change of -0.25% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 141.72 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.35 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.25% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 142.07 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 144.36, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 145.08 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 141.03 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 133.47
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 144.36 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 145.08 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 141.03 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 133.47 |
The previous day high was 142.25 while the previous day low was 140.16. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 141.45, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 140.96, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 140.74, 139.41, 138.65
- Pivot resistance is noted at 142.83, 143.59, 144.92
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 142.25 |
| Previous Daily Low | 140.16 |
| Previous Weekly High | 140.80 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 137.67 |
| Previous Monthly High | 151.94 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 143.53 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 141.45 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 140.96 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 140.74 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 139.41 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 138.65 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 142.83 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 143.59 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 144.92 |
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