#AUDUSD @ 0.66508 AUDUSD has resurfaced after slipping below 0.6660 despite unchanged PBOC’s monetary policy. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDUSD @ 0.66508 AUDUSD has resurfaced after slipping below 0.6660 despite unchanged PBOC’s monetary policy. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUDUSD has resurfaced after slipping below 0.6660 despite unchanged PBOC’s monetary policy.
  • Led by rising Covid-19 cases and weaker real estate demand, the PBOC was expected to sound dovish.
  • Going forward, the speech from RBA’s Lowe will be of utmost importance.

The pair currently trades last at 0.66508.

The previous day high was 0.673 while the previous day low was 0.6661. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6688, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6704, expected to provide resistance.

The AUDUSD has retreated after dropping below the immediate support of 0.6660 despite the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) keeping its stance on interest rates ‘unchanged’.Earlier, the asset witnessed selling pressure while attempting to cross the immediate hurdle of 0.6680 in the Tokyo session.

Led by rising infections of Covid-19 and vulnerable real estate demand in China, the PBOC was expected to sound ‘dovish’ on its Prime Lending Rates (PLRs). The domestic catalysts have weakened economic projections extremely, therefore a rate cut was in consideration. An absence of expansionary measures in the monetary policy has brought volatility in the Australian dollar, being a leading trading partner of China.

Last week, the release of upbeat Australian employment data delighted the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). As per the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the economy managed to make fresh additions in the payroll market by 32.2k vs. the consensus of 15k and the prior release of 0.9k. Also, the Unemployment Rate was trimmed to 3.4% vs. the expectations of 3.6% and the former figure of 3.5%. This might support the RBA in hiking its Official Cash Rate (OCR) unhesitatingly.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has established above the round-level hurdle of 107.00 and has accelerated to near Tuesday’s high of 107.24. A rebound in the negative market sentiment is impacting the risk-perceived currencies. The 10-year US Treasury yields have dropped further below 3.81% as chances of the continuation of 75 basis points (bps) rate hike spell by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have trimmed vigorously.

Going forward, investors will focus on the speech from RBA Governor Philip Lowe, which will be delivered on Tuesday. RBA Governor may dictate the likely monetary policy actions ahead.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6656 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.667 and is trading with a change of -0.21 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6656
1 Today Daily Change -0.0014
2 Today Daily Change % -0.2100
3 Today daily open 0.6670

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6513, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6495 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6695 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6947

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6513
1 Daily SMA50 0.6495
2 Daily SMA100 0.6695
3 Daily SMA200 0.6947

The previous day high was 0.673 while the previous day low was 0.6661. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6688, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6704, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6644, 0.6618, 0.6575
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6713, 0.6757, 0.6783
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6730
Previous Daily Low 0.6661
Previous Weekly High 0.6798
Previous Weekly Low 0.6634
Previous Monthly High 0.6548
Previous Monthly Low 0.6170
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6688
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6704
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6644
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6618
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6575
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6713
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6757
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6783

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