#USDJPY @ 139.496 US Retail Sales rise more than expected in October. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- US Retail Sales rise more than expected in October.
- Quiet session across financial markets on Wednesday.
- USDJPY is marginally higher, moving between 139.00 and 140.00.
The pair currently trades last at 139.496.
The previous day high was 140.63 while the previous day low was 137.67. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 138.8, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.5, expected to provide resistance.
The USJPY is hovering around 139.40, marginally higher for the day, following the release of US economic data, on a relatively quiet session. The pair continues to stabilize after sharply moves last week.
US data come in mixed to positive. Retail Sales in October rose 1.3%, the best reading in eight months. Industrial production dropped 0.1%, against expectations of an increase of 0.2; September numbers were revised lower from 0.4% to 0.1%.
The numbers boosted the US Dollar but only modestly. The DXY remains in negative territory but above 106.00. While the US 2-year bond yield remains steady at 4.36%, the 10-year is at 3.73%, the lowest since October 22. The USDJPY spiked to 140.00 after retail sales but then dropped to as low as 139.03.
In Japan, Machinery Orders tumbled in September unexpectedly 4.6%. “This comes after weaker-than-expected Q3 GDP readings and of course bodes ill for growth going forward. As such, it’s no surprise that Japan policymakers remain cautious about removing stimulus too soon”, said analysts at Brown Brother Harriman.
The USDJPY is moving sideways after being able to recover the 138.50 zone. A consolidation below would increase the bearish pressure. On the upside the immediate resistance is seen around 140.00 and then the 140.60 zone. A consolidation above would open the doors for a test of 141.00 and probably more gain.
The ongoing consolidation follows a sharp decline last week that changed the short-term bias from bullish to bearish.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 139.42 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 139.18 and is trading with a change of 0.17 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 139.42 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.24 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.17 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 139.18 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 146.1, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 145.3 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 140.84 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 132.98
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 146.10 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 145.30 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 140.84 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 132.98 |
The previous day high was 140.63 while the previous day low was 137.67. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 138.8, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.5, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 137.69, 136.19, 134.72
- Pivot resistance is noted at 140.65, 142.12, 143.61
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 140.63 |
| Previous Daily Low | 137.67 |
| Previous Weekly High | 147.57 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 138.47 |
| Previous Monthly High | 151.94 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 143.53 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 138.80 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 139.50 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 137.69 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 136.19 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 134.72 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 140.65 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 142.12 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 143.61 |
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