#USDCHF @ 0.94468 USDCHF struggles to defend buyers despite bouncing off seven-month low the previous day., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USDCHF struggles to defend buyers despite bouncing off seven-month low the previous day.
- Bearish chart pattern, pullback from 21-SMA favor sellers targeting fresh multi-month low.
- Two-week-old resistance line, 200-SMA acts as additional upside filters.
The pair currently trades last at 0.94468.
The previous day high was 0.9476 while the previous day low was 0.9357. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.943, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9402, expected to provide support.
USDCHF takes offers to reverse the early-day gains around 0.9440 as European traders brace for a busy Wednesday.
In doing so, the Swiss Franc (CHF) extends pullback from the 21-SMA while portraying a bearish flag chart pattern suggesting the quote’s further downside.
Other than the pullback from 21-SMA and the bearish formation, the recent improvements in RSI and sustained trading below the fortnight-old resistance line keep USDCHF sellers hopeful.
That said, a clear downside break of the 0.9370 support appears necessary for the bears to confirm the flag. Following that, the quote becomes vulnerable to testing the 0.8840 theoretical target.
However, early January’s high near 0.9340, February’s top surrounding 0.9150 and the 0.9000 psychological magnet could offer intermediate halts during the anticipated fall.
Meanwhile, recovery moves need to cross the convergence of the 21-SMA and upper line of the stated flag, near 0.9470.
Following that, a run-up towards a two-week-old resistance line, close to 0.9695 by the press time, can’t be ruled out.
In a case where USDCHF remains firmer past 0.9695 and crosses the 0.9700 round figure, the 200-SMA hurdle around 0.9900 will be in focus.
Trend: Further downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCHF currently trading at 0.9442 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9441 and is trading with a change of 0.01% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.9442 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0001 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.01% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.9441 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.987, 50 SMA 0.9832, 100 SMA @ 0.9738 and 200 SMA @ 0.9625.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.9870 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9832 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.9738 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.9625 |
The previous day high was 0.9476 while the previous day low was 0.9357. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.943, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9402, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.9373, 0.9305, 0.9254
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9492, 0.9543, 0.9611
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.9476 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.9357 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.9988 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.9398 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0148 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9781 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.9430 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.9402 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.9373 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.9305 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9254 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.9492 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.9543 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.9611 |
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