#GBPUSD @ 1.17520 GBPUSD has sensed pressure around 1.1800, following the footprints of the sideways DXY. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBPUSD has sensed pressure around 1.1800, following the footprints of the sideways DXY.
- UK Autumn Statement will deliver further clarity on closing the fiscal gap.
- British jobless claims may decline by 12.6k vs. an expansion of 25.5k reported earlier.
The pair currently trades last at 1.17520.
The previous day high was 1.1855 while the previous day low was 1.1648. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1776, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1727, expected to provide support.
The GBPUSD pair declined in the early Asian session after sensing selling pressure while attempting to surpass the immediate hurdle of 1.1800. The Cable has turned sideways after a vertical rally as a market impulse has turned quiet ahead of the US midterm elections outcome.
S&P500 is facing immense pressure ahead of the midterm elections outcome. A majority win of Republicans for the House of Representatives will slow down the execution of expansionary policies ahead as they would be required confirmation from the former too before execution. Also, it will trigger political uncertainty in the economy.
The US dollar index (DXY) is auctioning in a chartered territory after registering a fresh three-month low of around 106.30.
This week, all eyes will remain on the contents of the UK Autumn Budget Statement from Chancellor Jeremy Hunt. The bifurcation of GBP 54bln into spending cuts and tax rises and dismantling of the ‘mini budget’ announced two months earlier by then UK PM Liz Truss will remain in focus. UK Chancellor warned earlier that everyone needs to sacrifice a bit by paying higher taxes to support the economy.
Support for energy bills from the government would be scaled down but support could be there for the low-income group.
Analysts at Danske Bank believe that “While we expect the Autumn Statement to deliver further clarity on closing the fiscal gap, we broadly expect a muted reaction in GBP.”
But before that, investors will keep an eye on the UK employment data, which will release on Tuesday. The jobless claims are expected to display a withdrawal of 12.6k against claims executed in the prior release. The Unemployment Rate is seen as stable at 3.5%.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1755 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1845 and is trading with a change of -0.76 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1755 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0090 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.7600 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1845 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.1441, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.1337 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.1661 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.2266
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1441 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1337 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1661 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2266 |
The previous day high was 1.1855 while the previous day low was 1.1648. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1776, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1727, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.171, 1.1575, 1.1503
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1917, 1.199, 1.2124
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1855 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1648 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1855 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1291 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1646 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0924 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1776 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1727 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1710 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1575 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1503 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1917 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1990 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2124 |
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