Gold retreats from over a one-month high touched on Tuesday amid a modest USD uptick. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold retreats from over a one-month high touched on Tuesday amid a modest USD uptick.
- Reviving safe-haven demand offers support to the XAUUSD and helps limit the downside.
- Bets for less aggressive Fed rate hikes support prospects for the emergence of dip-buying.
The pair currently trades last at 1709.86.
The previous day high was 1716.95 while the previous day low was 1664.76. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1697.01, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1684.7, expected to provide support.
Gold edges lower on Wednesday and reverses a part of the previous day’s breakout rally to a more than one-month high. The XAUUSD remains on the defensive through the early European session, albeit manages to hold its neck above the $1,700 round-figure mark.
The US Dollar attracts some buying and moves away from its lowest level since September 20 touched the previous day, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor weighing on the dollar-denominated gold. Despite rising bets for a less aggressive policy tightening by the Fed, the markets are still pricing in the possibility of at least a 50 bps rate hike in December. This remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and offers some support to the greenback.
That said, the cautious market mood extends some support to the safe-haven gold and might limit further losses, at least for the time being. Investors turn cautious amid growing worries about a deeper global economic downturn and uncertainty over the results of the US mid-term elections. Traders might also prefer to move to the sidelines ahead of the crucial US consumer inflation figures, due for release on Thursday. This, in turn, warrants some caution for bearish traders.
From a technical perspective, the overnight sustained breakout through a multi-month descending trend-line hurdle, around the $1,680-$1,682 supply zone, marked a fresh bullish breakout. This, in turn, supports prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying around gold. In the absence of any relevant market-moving economic data from the US, traders on Wednesday will take cues from speeches by New York Fed President John Williams and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin. Apart from this, the US bond yields will influence the USD and provide some impetus to the XAUUSD.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1709.86 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1712.11 and is trading with a change of -0.13 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1709.86 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -2.25 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.13 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1712.11 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1654.56, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1673.64 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1717.62 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1804.42
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1654.56 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1673.64 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1717.62 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1804.42 |
The previous day high was 1716.95 while the previous day low was 1664.76. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1697.01, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1684.7, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1678.93, 1645.75, 1626.74
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1731.12, 1750.13, 1783.31
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1716.95 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1664.76 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1682.49 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1616.69 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1729.58 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1617.35 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1697.01 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1684.70 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1678.93 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1645.75 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1626.74 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1731.12 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1750.13 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1783.31 |
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