A combination of factors prompts some selling around AUDUSD on Wednesday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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A combination of factors prompts some selling around AUDUSD on Wednesday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • A combination of factors prompts some selling around AUDUSD on Wednesday.
  • Elevated US bond yields and a softer risk tone help revive demand for the USD.
  • Not-so-hawkish remarks by RBA Deputy Governor Bullock weigh on the Aussie.

The pair currently trades last at 0.6473.

The previous day high was 0.6551 while the previous day low was 0.6444. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.651, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6485, expected to provide resistance.

The AUDUSD pair comes under some selling pressure on Wednesday and extends the overnight late pullback from mid-0.6500s or its highest level since September 23. The pair drops to the 0.6470 area during the first half of the European session and for now, seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak amid a modest US Dollar uptick.

In fact, the USD Index stages a goodish bounce from a seven-week low touched the previous day and is supported by a combination of factors. Despite reduced bets for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed, the markets are still pricing in at least a 50 bps rate hike in December. This remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and helps revive the USD demand. This, along with a fresh leg down in the equity markets, offers additional support to the safe-haven buck and contributes to driving flows away from the risk-sensitive Aussie.

Adding to this, the not-so-hawkish remarks by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Deputy Governor Michele Bullock weighs on the domestic currency. Speaking about the economic outlook, Bullock noted that there are good reasons to think we are approaching the peak of inflation this cycle. This suggests that the RBA could further slow the pace of its rate-hiking cycle and exerts some pressure on the Australian Dollar. The combination of the aforementioned fundamental factors supports prospects for a further intraday depreciating move for the AUDUSD pair.

In the absence of any major market-moving economic releases from the US, traders on Wednesday will take cues from speeches by New York Fed President John Williams and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment, might influence the USD price dynamics and provide some impetus to the AUDUSD pair. The focus, however, will remain glued to the latest US consumer inflation figures, due on Thursday.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURUSD currently trading at 0.6473 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6504 and is trading with a change of -0.48 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6473
1 Today Daily Change -0.0031
2 Today Daily Change % -0.4800
3 Today daily open 0.6504

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6363, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6515 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6714 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6966

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6363
1 Daily SMA50 0.6515
2 Daily SMA100 0.6714
3 Daily SMA200 0.6966

The previous day high was 0.6551 while the previous day low was 0.6444. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.651, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6485, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6449, 0.6393, 0.6342
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6555, 0.6607, 0.6662
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6551
Previous Daily Low 0.6444
Previous Weekly High 0.6493
Previous Weekly Low 0.6272
Previous Monthly High 0.6548
Previous Monthly Low 0.6170
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6510
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6485
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6449
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6393
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6342
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6555
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6607
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6662

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