EURUSD is displaying a subdued performance above parity as investors turn cautious ahead of US mid-term elections. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EURUSD is displaying a subdued performance above parity as investors turn cautious ahead of US mid-term elections.
- Fed Barkin sees no slowdown in the rate hike pace until a slowdown in the price growth.
- This week, US Inflation data will be of utmost importance.
The pair currently trades last at 1.0013.
The previous day high was 1.0034 while the previous day low was 0.9903. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9984, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9953, expected to provide support.
The EURUSD pair has witnessed a mild correction after testing Monday’s high at 1.0031 in the Tokyo session. Exhaustion in the upside momentum has resulted in a minor selling interest in the asset, however, the asset still holds the parity as the overall risk impulse is still positive.
Meanwhile, the US dollar index has bounced back sharply from 110.05 as investors are turning cautious ahead of the US mid-term elections. S&P500 futures are displaying a flat-to-positive move in Tokyo after a bullish Monday amid optimism in the entire market.
On a contrary, the 10-year US Treasury yields have climbed to 4.22% after hawkish commentary from Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) President Thomas Barkin. Fed policymaker believes that the ongoing pace of policy tightening by the US central bank will continue until promising signs of a slowdown in the inflationary pressures. He further added that “It would have made sense for the Fed to start tightening earlier.”
The outcome of the US mid-term elections will have a significant impact on the mighty DXY and will display the extent of political stability in the economy. Therefore, the contest among 435 seats of the House of Representatives and 34 seats of the Senate will be keenly watched.
Later this week, the release of the US inflation will remain in focus. Due to accelerating interest rates and a fall in gasoline prices, the inflationary pressures are expected to display slippages.
On the Eurozone front, investors are awaiting the Retail Sales data. The economic data may remain in a negative trajectory at -1.3% but will improve against the prior figure of -2.0%. Despite, soaring price pressures, lower retail sales indicate an extreme weakness in retail demand.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.0013 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0021 and is trading with a change of -0.08 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0013 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0008 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0800 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0021 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.986, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.9879 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0048 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0464
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.9860 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9879 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0048 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0464 |
The previous day high was 1.0034 while the previous day low was 0.9903. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9984, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9953, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.9938, 0.9855, 0.9806
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0069, 1.0117, 1.02
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0034 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.9903 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.9976 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.9730 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0094 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9632 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.9984 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.9953 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.9938 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.9855 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9806 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0069 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0117 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0200 |
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