US Dollar extends losses during the American session. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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US Dollar extends losses during the American session. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • US Dollar extends losses during the American session.
  • NFP surpasses expectations, but does not help dollar.
  • USDCHF erases most weekly gains, back under parity.

The pair currently trades last at 0.9956.

The previous day high was 1.0148 while the previous day low was 1.0004. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0093, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0059, expected to provide resistance.

The USDCHF is falling almost two hundred pips on Friday, on the worst performance in weeks, amid a broad-based Dollar slide. The better-than-expected US jobs numbers did not help the dollar, that is ending the week pointing to further weakness.

The pair recently hit a fresh two daily low at 0.9940 and it remains with a bearish bias. The next support stands around 0.9920. The reversal from the 1.0150 area, that again capped the upside, is firm.

The US official employment report showed numbers above expectations, although the slowest monthly gain in jobs since December 2020. The labor market remains healthy.

The US Dollar initially rose following the NFP but then reversed sharply, resuming the decline. “The currency market looks to be more concerned about speculation of a relaxation of China’s zero COVID policy than a firmer jobs report or higher Fed terminal rate, which may be more influential in triggering some positioning adjustments. The easy phase of the USD’s bid is behind us, but the onus will be on regional prospects to undermine the USD. Near-term, we think there may be more noise-than-signal in the FX space”, commented analysts at TD Securities.

The US dollar is still marginally higher for the week but is far from the highs, on a busy week that included a 75 basis points rate hike from the Federal Reserve. Next week, on Tuesday are US mid-term elections and on Thursday CPI data is due. Inflation numbers will be the highlight of the week and will likely impact markets.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURUSD currently trading at 0.9956 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0132 and is trading with a change of -1.74 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.9956
1 Today Daily Change -0.0176
2 Today Daily Change % -1.7400
3 Today daily open 1.0132

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.9989, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.9845 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.9733 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.9608

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.9989
1 Daily SMA50 0.9845
2 Daily SMA100 0.9733
3 Daily SMA200 0.9608

The previous day high was 1.0148 while the previous day low was 1.0004. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0093, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0059, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.0042, 0.9952, 0.9899
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0185, 1.0238, 1.0328
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.0148
Previous Daily Low 1.0004
Previous Weekly High 1.0032
Previous Weekly Low 0.9842
Previous Monthly High 1.0148
Previous Monthly Low 0.9781
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0093
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0059
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0042
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9952
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9899
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0185
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0238
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0328

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