The AUDUSD soars more than 2% on Friday and prepares to finish the week with gains of 0.50%. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- The AUDUSD soars more than 2% on Friday and prepares to finish the week with gains of 0.50%.
- The US Nonfarm Payrolls report exceeded estimates, while the Unemployment Rate pushed upwards, weakening the USD and bolstering the AUD.
- AUDUSD Price Analysis: Gains 150-pips and consolidates around 0.6440-50 as the RSI enters the overbought territory.
The pair currently trades last at 0.6448.
The previous day high was 0.6372 while the previous day low was 0.6272. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.631, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6334, expected to provide support.
The AUDUSD is surging toward 0.6420s following the release of US employment data, which underscores Fed worries about the narrow labor market, with the United States economy adding more jobs than expected, while the Average Hourly Earnings remained unchanged close to 5% YoY, adding to inflationary pressures. At the time of writing, the AUDUSD is trading at around 0.6440-55 after hitting a daily low of 0.6285.
On Friday, the US Department of Labor reported that the US economy added 261K jobs in October, smashing estimates of 193K, justifying the need for further Federal Reserve (Fed) aggression, even though the Federal Funds rate (FFR) is already at the 3.75-4% range. Although Fed Chair Jerome Powell mentioned the bank’s intention to slow the pace of rate increases, he said that the peak of rates would be higher than September’s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) report.
Digging a little deep into the report, the Unemployment Rate rose by 3.7%, shocked by a lower participation rate, while Average Hourly Earnings remained unchanged at 4.7% YoY.
The AUDUSD tanked on the headline release, as shown by the 5-minute chart, towards 0.6344 and shifted gears, rallying aggressively, clearing the psychological 0.6400 figure, and extending its gains towards the daily high at around 0.6452. Traders should be aware that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 83 at overbought conditions, suggesting that the AUDUSD might pull back before resuming its upward bias.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 0.6448 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.629 and is trading with a change of 2.51 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6448 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0158 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 2.5100 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6290 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6338, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.654 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6728 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6975
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6338 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6540 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6728 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6975 |
The previous day high was 0.6372 while the previous day low was 0.6272. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.631, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6334, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6251, 0.6211, 0.6151
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6351, 0.6411, 0.6451
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6372 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6272 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6522 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6272 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6548 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6170 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6310 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6334 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6251 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6211 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6151 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6351 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6411 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6451 |
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