#XAUUSD @ 4.1621 Gold price is displaying topsy-turvy moves as investors await the release of the US economic data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold price is displaying topsy-turvy moves as investors await the release of the US economic data.
- The US GDP is expected to deliver positive growth despite an extreme hawkish environment.
- Advancing core CPI has failed to deliver a decline in demand for durable goods.
The pair currently trades last at 4.1621.
The previous day high was 1674.96 while the previous day low was 1649.86. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1665.37, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1659.45, expected to provide resistance.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is broadly auctioning in a bounded territory as the market participants are awaiting fresh impetus for a one-sided move. The precious metal witnessed mild selling pressure at around $1,670.00 but has rebounded from $1,660.00 and has got back inside the woods. The balanced auction profile is plotted in a range of $1,660.00-1,671.20.
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has sensed a mild buying interest of around 109.60 but is still in a rangebound structure. The 10-year US Treasury yields have rebounded marginally after testing waters below the psychological support of 4%. The market mood is extremely quiet as investors have shifted to the sidelines ahead of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and US Durable Goods Orders data.
Despite accelerating interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed), the US GDP is expected to report a growth rate of 2.4% in the third quarter of CY2022 vs. a de-growth of 0.6% reported earlier.
Also, the US Durable Goods Orders are expected to outperform by delivering an increment of 0.6% against a drop of 0.2%. It is worth noting that core inflation data is escalating for the past few months and still a progressive demand for durable goods indicate solid demand from households.
Gold prices are oscillating in a Symmetrical triangle that signals a sheer contraction in volatility. An explosion of the volatility contraction pattern will result in wider ticks and heavy volume. Horizontal resistance is placed from October 11 high at $1,684.05.
The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,633.16 is acting as major support for the counter.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has dropped from the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, however, the upside bias is still solid.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1664.41 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1664.66 and is trading with a change of -0.02 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1664.41 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.25 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.02 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1664.66 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1668.78, 50 SMA 1689.2, 100 SMA @ 1733.87 and 200 SMA @ 1811.82.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1668.78 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1689.20 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1733.87 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1811.82 |
The previous day high was 1674.96 while the previous day low was 1649.86. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1665.37, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1659.45, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1651.36, 1638.06, 1626.26
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1676.46, 1688.26, 1701.56
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1674.96 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1649.86 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1668.53 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1617.35 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1735.17 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1614.85 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1665.37 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1659.45 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1651.36 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1638.06 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1626.26 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1676.46 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1688.26 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1701.56 |
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