#XAGUSD @ 19.324 Silver fails to find acceptance above the 100-day SMA and edges lower on Thursday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#XAGUSD @ 19.324 Silver fails to find acceptance above the 100-day SMA and edges lower on Thursday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • Silver fails to find acceptance above the 100-day SMA and edges lower on Thursday.
  • Break below the 38.2% Fibo. level should pave the way for a further intraday decline.
  • A sustained move beyond the $19.55-60 confluence will be seen as a trigger for bulls.

The pair currently trades last at 19.324.

The previous day high was 19.78 while the previous day low was 19.22. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 19.56, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 19.43, expected to provide resistance.

Silver struggles to capitalize on its one-week-old positive trend beyond the 100-day SMA and meets with a fresh supply on Thursday. The white metal remains on the defensive through the early European session and is currently placed near the daily low, just below the mid-$19.00s.

The said area represents the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent sharp downfall from the monthly peak and should act as a pivotal point for intraday traders. Sustained weakness below might prompt some technical selling, making the XAG/USD vulnerable to weaken further below the $19.00 mark and testing the weekly low, around the $18.80 region.

The latter coincides with the 23.6% Fibo. level, which if broken decisively will negate any near-term positive bias and shift the bias in favour of bearish traders. The XAG/USD might then accelerate the descending trend towards the $18.30-$18.25 intermediate support before eventually dropping to the next relevant support near the $18.00 round-figure mark.

On the flip side, the 100-day SMA, currently around the $19.55-$19.60 region, coincides with the 50% Fibo. level. Some follow-through buying beyond the said confluence barrier should allow the XAG/USD to reclaim the $20.00 psychological mark. The upward trajectory could get extended towards an intermediate hurdle near the $20.50 area en route to the $21.00 mark.

A convincing breakout through the aforementioned barriers will be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders and also suggest that the XAG/USD has formed a strong base ahead of the $18.00 mark. The subsequent move should lift spot prices beyond the monthly peak, around the $21.25 region, towards the very important 200-day SMA, currently around the $21.60 area.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XAGUSD currently trading at 19.43 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 19.58 and is trading with a change of -0.77 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 19.43
1 Today Daily Change -0.15
2 Today Daily Change % -0.77
3 Today daily open 19.58

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 19.41, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 19.1 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 19.61 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 21.65

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 19.41
1 Daily SMA50 19.10
2 Daily SMA100 19.61
3 Daily SMA200 21.65

The previous day high was 19.78 while the previous day low was 19.22. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 19.56, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 19.43, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 19.27, 18.96, 18.71
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 19.84, 20.09, 20.4
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 19.78
Previous Daily Low 19.22
Previous Weekly High 19.44
Previous Weekly Low 18.23
Previous Monthly High 20.02
Previous Monthly Low 17.56
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 19.56
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 19.43
Daily Pivot Point S1 19.27
Daily Pivot Point S2 18.96
Daily Pivot Point S3 18.71
Daily Pivot Point R1 19.84
Daily Pivot Point R2 20.09
Daily Pivot Point R3 20.40

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