#EURUSD @ 0.99483 is under pressure in Asia, unable to cling to the high seen overnight. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/USD is under pressure in Asia, unable to cling to the high seen overnight.
- The US dollar was sold off heavily in a switch-up in market sentiment.
The pair currently trades last at 0.99483.
The previous day high was 0.9977 while the previous day low was 0.9848. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9928, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9897, expected to provide support.
EUR/USD rallied hard to the upper quarter of the 0.99 area and bulls were eyeing a move into parity before the day was up but were left stranded in a phase of consolidation. In Asia, there has been little in the way of follow-through and the price has trickled lower between 0.9967 and 0.9943.
Federal Reserve officials are in a quiet period through the Nov. 1-2 Federal Open Market Committee meeting and sentiment is left to dictate the direction of markets based on economic data. A change of heart is apparent in fixed income and risk on appetite has dominated the week as investors ponder as to whether the Federal Reserve’s path of interest rate hikes is about to switch up due to the cracks in the economy. Consequently, this has been sinking yields and the US dollar along with it.
The dollar index, DXY, which measures the greenback vs. a basket of currencies fell to a low of 110.759 on Tuesday from a high of 112.127 in a sizeable drop that led to strong and rapid gains in risk assets and forex, such as the euro. The index is now below the 111 mark, a level not seen in almost three weeks, as speculation that the Federal Reserve would slow the pace of interest rate hikes later this year has diminished the greenback’s appeal.
In the eurozone, business expectations improved modestly in October according to data released earlier Tuesday, but the current assessment declined, leaving the business climate measure virtually unchanged. The European Central Bank meets on Thursday when a 75 basis point increase is expected.”We expect the ECB to repeat Sep’s 75bps hike at the Oct meeting, taking the Depo Rate to 1.50%, and leaving it arguably in the middle of the range that the ECB considers being “neutral”, analysts at TD Securities said. ”While the growth outlook has deteriorated recently, with inflation surging to 9.9%, the ECB will likely emphasise the risk that higher inflation expectations become entrenched.”
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 0.9956 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9965 and is trading with a change of -0.09 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.9956 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0009 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0900 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.9965 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.9807, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.9895 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0101 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0524
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.9807 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9895 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0101 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0524 |
The previous day high was 0.9977 while the previous day low was 0.9848. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9928, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9897, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.9883, 0.9801, 0.9754
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0012, 1.0059, 1.014
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.9977 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.9848 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.9876 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.9705 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0198 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9536 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.9928 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.9897 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.9883 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.9801 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9754 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0012 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0059 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0140 |
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