#EURGBP @ 0.87392 is approaching weekly highs around 0.8780 as an ECB rate hike may trim BOE/ECB policy divergence. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

0
247

#EURGBP @ 0.87392 is approaching weekly highs around 0.8780 as an ECB rate hike may trim BOE/ECB policy divergence. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

Follow Our Twitter

Join Our Telegram Group


This is a premium post.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]Please register for PREMIUM VERSION HERE to read full post below containing analysis. In case of any error or you think you are not able to read the full post below, please email us at support#nehcap.com [lwa][/s2If] [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]

  • EUR/GBP is approaching weekly highs around 0.8780 as an ECB rate hike may trim BOE/ECB policy divergence.
  • A pile of debt is ready to weigh down the confidence of new UK PM Rishi Sunak.
  • A second consecutive 75 bps rate hike by the ECB would push interest rates to 2%.

The pair currently trades last at 0.87392.

The previous day high was 0.8764 while the previous day low was 0.8662. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8725, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8701, expected to provide support.

The EUR/GBP pair is concluding its time correction move to near 0.8740 and is aiming to test weekly highs at 0.8781. The cross is picking up bids as clarity over novel UK leadership has trimmed favors for pound bulls. Also, Thursday’s monetary policy announcement by the European Central Bank (ECB), will trim the Bank of England (BOE)-ECB policy divergence ahead.

It is clear that Rishi Sunak will be the next UK Prime Minister after the shortest-ever service-serving UK PM Liz Truss after the former won the leadership contest. Followed by a withdrawal from contestants short-listed for UK PM: Boris Johnson and Penny Mordaunt, Rishi Sunak is ready to hold the UK’s highest chair ahead.

Well, big power is coming with much bigger responsibilities amid the pile-up of debt in the UK economy, the highest since 1960. It would be worth watching how newly appointed Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt and UK’s novel leader Rishi Sunak will fetch the confidence of international investors and bring financial stability.

Apart from financial stability, the deepening energy crisis is also a critical issue for the novel leadership. Headlines from Bloomberg revealed that the EU may join hands with the UK and Switzerland to combat escalating energy prices. The EU is planning a price cap on energy prices to delight households against soaring energy bills. The strategy is to be executed without boosting demand or delivery of electricity to foreign consumers at subsidized prices.

In response to that, the Trading bloc’s executive arm is advising EU members that such a price limit would have to be extended to power-importing countries like the UK or Switzerland for it to be effective, reported Bloomberg.

This week, ECB President Christine Lagarde may tighten its policy further to contain the soaring inflationary pressures. As per analysts from Rabobank, the ECB may announce a second consecutive 75 basis point (bps) interest rate hike, which will push rates to 2%. They see the deposit rate reaching 3% by March next year.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURGBP currently trading at 0.8742 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8754 and is trading with a change of -0.14 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.8742
1 Today Daily Change -0.0012
2 Today Daily Change % -0.1400
3 Today daily open 0.8754

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.8755, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.8677 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.8592 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.8496

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.8755
1 Daily SMA50 0.8677
2 Daily SMA100 0.8592
3 Daily SMA200 0.8496

The previous day high was 0.8764 while the previous day low was 0.8662. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8725, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8701, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.8689, 0.8625, 0.8587
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8791, 0.8829, 0.8893
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.8764
Previous Daily Low 0.8662
Previous Weekly High 0.8781
Previous Weekly Low 0.8578
Previous Monthly High 0.9254
Previous Monthly Low 0.8566
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8725
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8701
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8689
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8625
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8587
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8791
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8829
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8893

[/s2If]
Join Our Telegram Group

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here