#NZDUSD @ 0.56269 has recorded the day’s low below 0.5630 amid a heated market mood. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
…
This is a premium post.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]Please register for PREMIUM VERSION HERE to read full post below containing analysis. In case of any error or you think you are not able to read the full post below, please email us at support#nehcap.com [lwa][/s2If] [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]
- NZD/USD has recorded the day’s low below 0.5630 amid a heated market mood.
- Weaker economic prospects cited by Fed’s Beige Book have soured risk impulse.
- An unchanged PBOC’s monetary policy has brought volatility for the kiwi bulls.
The pair currently trades last at 0.56269.
The previous day high was 0.5708 while the previous day low was 0.565. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.5672, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5686, expected to provide resistance.
The NZD/USD pair has tumbled to near 0.5630 as downside momentum was triggered after dropping below Wednesday’s low at 0.5650 in the Tokyo session. The asset has witnessed a steep fall amid headwinds of souring market mood and the maintenance of status-quo by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC).
Negative market sentiment has extended losses in the S&P500 futures after a bearish Wednesday. The US dollar index (DXY) is holding its gains above 113.00 and is likely to remain upbeat till further notice from the risk impulse. Meanwhile, the returns on US government bonds are skyrocketing amid accelerating odds for further policy tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The 10-year US Treasury yields are playing around 4.15%.
Also, risks cited by Federal Reserve (Fed)’s Beige Book have triggered risk-off profile. According to the minutes from Fed’s Beige Book, economic activities have remained flat or scaled down in different districts led by a slowdown in retail spending.
In early Tokyo, an unchanged monetary policy by the PBOC weakened the kiwi bulls. The PBOC kept the Prime Lending Rate (PLR) stale despite a slowdown in economic prospects and the vulnerable real estate market. The one-year and five-year PLR remained steady at 3.65% and 4.30% respectively. It is worth noting that New Zealand is a leading trading partner of China and a stable PBOC monetary policy has dented the sentiment of kiwi investors.
This week, the NZ Trade Balance data will be of utmost importance. As per the consensus, the annual fiscal deficit will trim to $-13.19B vs. the prior release of $-12.28B. An occurrence of the same may bring volatility for the kiwi bulls.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
NZDUSD currently trading at 0.5637 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.567 and is trading with a change of -0.58 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.5637 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0033 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.5800 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.5670 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.5669, 50 SMA 0.5949, 100 SMA @ 0.6112 and 200 SMA @ 0.6399.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.5669 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.5949 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6112 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6399 |
The previous day high was 0.5708 while the previous day low was 0.565. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.5672, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5686, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.5644, 0.5618, 0.5586
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.5702, 0.5734, 0.576
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.5708 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.5650 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.5730 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.5512 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6162 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.5565 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.5672 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.5686 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.5644 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.5618 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.5586 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.5702 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.5734 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.5760 |
[/s2If]
Join Our Telegram Group




