#XAGUSD @ 18.743 Silver price fails to extend two-day uptrend, eases from intraday top of late., @nehcap view: Further weakness expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Silver price fails to extend two-day uptrend, eases from intraday top of late.
- 50-HMA adds strength to the weekly triangle’s support.
- Hidden bearish RSI divergence teases XAG/USD sellers but break of $18.60 is necessary.
The pair currently trades last at 18.743.
The previous day high was 18.93 while the previous day low was 18.55. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 18.78, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 18.69, expected to provide support.
Silver price (XAG/USD) remains sidelined around $18.75-80, fading the two-day uptrend during Wednesday’s Asian session as the bright metal trades inside a weekly symmetrical triangle.
The bullion’s latest inaction could be linked to the mixed technical signals as the 50-HMA defends buyers but hidden bearish RSI divergence and the sustained trading below 200-HMA keeps the XAG/USD sellers hopeful. Also acting as an upside filter is the descending trend line from October 04, near $19.50 by the press time.
Hence, the commodity prices are likely to remain sideways unless breaking the aforementioned triangle, currently between $18.90 and $18.65. However, the odds favoring the downside are high.
That said, a clear downside break of $18.65 could quickly drag the XAG/USD price toward the monthly low of $18.08. Following that, the yearly low marked in September at around $17.55 will be in focus.
On the flip side, silver buyers’ dominance past $18.90 will need validation from the $19.00 threshold to aim for the 200-HMA level surrounding $19.25. Even so, the previously stated two-week-old resistance line will challenge the bulls around $19.50.
In a case where XAG/USD remains firmer past $19.50, the $20.00 psychological magnet and the monthly peak of $21.25 should gain the market’s attention.
Trend: Further weakness expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAGUSD currently trading at 18.73 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 18.73 and is trading with a change of 0.00% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 18.73 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.00 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.00% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 18.73 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 19.36, 50 SMA 19.25, 100 SMA @ 19.79 and 200 SMA @ 21.77.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 19.36 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 19.25 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 19.79 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 21.77 |
The previous day high was 18.93 while the previous day low was 18.55. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 18.78, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 18.69, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 18.54, 18.36, 18.16
- Pivot resistance is noted at 18.92, 19.12, 19.3
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 18.93 |
| Previous Daily Low | 18.55 |
| Previous Weekly High | 20.19 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 18.09 |
| Previous Monthly High | 20.02 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 17.56 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 18.78 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 18.69 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 18.54 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 18.36 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 18.16 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 18.92 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 19.12 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 19.30 |
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