#USDJPY @ 149.830 oscillates around 149.80 as US Treasury yields rise, underpinning the US Dollar. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/JPY oscillates around 149.80 as US Treasury yields rise, underpinning the US Dollar.
- The US housing market keeps deteriorating while the Federal Reserve pushes the pedal to the metal, ready to lift rates in November.
- Bank of Japan (BoJ) policymakers expressed that volatility surrounding the yen must reflect fundamentals,
The pair currently trades last at 149.830.
The previous day high was 149.39 while the previous day low was 148.16. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 148.92, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 148.63, expected to provide support.
The Japanese yen prolonged its agony against the US Dollar, printing a fresh 32-year low, as the USD/JPY reached a YTD high of 149.88 as market players tested the prospects of another intervention by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). As the Asian Pacific session begins, the USD/JPY is trading at 149.85, almost flat.
Wall Street finished Wednesday’s session trading in the red. The Eurozone (EU), the UK, and Canada reported September’s inflation which remained stubbornly high, though the UK and Canada figures exceeded and were nearby estimates, while the EU’s inflation ticked lower vs. previous and foreseen figures, but by a minuscule margin. Given that backdrop, worldwide bond yields skyrocketed as expectations for further central bank tightening increased. Hence, the US 10-year T-bond yield rose by 12 bps, up at 4.138%, a tailwind for the USD/JPY.
In the meantime, US housing data revealed during the New York session still flashes the effect of the US Federal Reserve’s interest-rate hikes. Housing Starts for September were worse-than-expected, tumbling by 8.1% MoM vs. August’s 13.7% gain, as mortgage rates in the US keep climbing, reaching a 20-year high at 6.94%.
Aside from this, Japanese authorities continued their verbal interventions, led by the BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, who said that it is extremely important for the FX market moves to reflect fundamentals. Echoing his comments was his college, BoJ’s Adachi, who added that using monetary policy to respond to FX moves would increase uncertainty over the BoJ’s guidance.
On Thursday, the Japanese economic calendar will feature the Trade Balance, alongside Exports and Imports and Foreign investments. Meanwhile, the US economic docket will feature Initial Jobless Claims, Existing Home Sales, and the Philadelphia Fed Business Index.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 149.85 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 149.28 and is trading with a change of 0.38 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 149.85 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.57 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.38 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 149.28 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 145.44, 50 SMA 141.67, 100 SMA @ 138.41 and 200 SMA @ 129.83.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 145.44 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 141.67 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 138.41 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 129.83 |
The previous day high was 149.39 while the previous day low was 148.16. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 148.92, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 148.63, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 148.5, 147.71, 147.27
- Pivot resistance is noted at 149.73, 150.18, 150.96
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 149.39 |
| Previous Daily Low | 148.16 |
| Previous Weekly High | 148.86 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 145.24 |
| Previous Monthly High | 145.90 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 138.78 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 148.92 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 148.63 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 148.50 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 147.71 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 147.27 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 149.73 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 150.18 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 150.96 |
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