#USDJPY @ 148.873 is aiming to kiss the 150.00 despite the upbeat market mood. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/JPY is aiming to kiss the 150.00 despite the upbeat market mood.
- The odds for BOJ’s intervention are getting air as the USD/JPY is advancing despite the vulnerable DXY.
- Japan’s exports would accelerate amid overall weakness in the Japanese yen.
The pair currently trades last at 148.873.
The previous day high was 149.09 while the previous day low was 148.43. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 148.84, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 148.68, expected to provide support.
The USD/JPY pair is hovering around the immediate hurdle of 149.00 in the Tokyo session. The asset has delivered an upside break of the rangebound structure formed in a 148.41-148.89 area despite the cheerful market mood.
The mighty US dollar index (DXY) is underperforming against other risk-perceived currencies amid a decline in safe-haven’s appeal. Meanwhile, risk sentiment has turned extremely positive. S&P500 displayed a V-shape recovery on Monday after a bloody Friday. However, the 10-year US Treasury yields are still holding the critical figure of 4% as bets on a 75 basis point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) are significant.
The ongoing north-side momentum in the USD/JPY is appealing to hit the psychological hurdle of 150.00, backed by dovish policy guidance by the Bank of Japan (BOJ). On Friday, BOJ’s Governor Haruhiko Kuroda stated that “It is appropriate to continue monetary easing,” reported Reuters. He further added that the central bank sees inflationary pressures declining to 2%, therefore, a continuation of dovish monetary policy is highly required.
This has left no other option for the BOJ than to intervene in the currency market. Japan’s officials are repeatedly conveying the preparedness of the BOJ for intervening in FX moves to support the Japanese yen due to excess forex moves based on speculation. Japan’s Finance Minister Shun’ichi Suzuki cited that “they are constantly watching FX movements with a sense of urgency”
Going forward, Tuesday’s Japan Trade data will be keenly watched. As per the consensus, imports will decline to 45% from the prior release of 49.9% while exports will scale to 27.1% vs. the former release of 22.1% due to the weak yen.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 148.86 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 149.03 and is trading with a change of -0.11 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 148.86 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.17 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.11 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 149.03 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 145.17, 50 SMA 141.39, 100 SMA @ 138.2 and 200 SMA @ 129.66.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 145.17 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 141.39 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 138.20 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 129.66 |
The previous day high was 149.09 while the previous day low was 148.43. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 148.84, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 148.68, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 148.61, 148.19, 147.95
- Pivot resistance is noted at 149.27, 149.52, 149.94
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 149.09 |
| Previous Daily Low | 148.43 |
| Previous Weekly High | 148.86 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 145.24 |
| Previous Monthly High | 145.90 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 138.78 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 148.84 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 148.68 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 148.61 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 148.19 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 147.95 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 149.27 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 149.52 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 149.94 |
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