#GBPUSD @ 1.12916 gains some positive traction on Monday, though lacks follow-through. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD gains some positive traction on Monday, though lacks follow-through.
- A combination of factors exerts some pressure on the USD and offers support.
- Bulls seem rather unimpressed by the UK government’s U-turn on fiscal plans.
The pair currently trades last at 1.12916.
The previous day high was 1.1367 while the previous day low was 1.1152. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1234, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1285, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair catches fresh bids on the first day of a new trading week, though struggles to find acceptance or capitalize on the move beyond the 1.1300 mark. Spot prices, hold steady above mid-1.1200s through the first half of the European session amid a modest US dollar weakness.
A strong recovery in the global risk sentiment, along with a softer tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields, turn out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the safe-haven buck. That said, a combination of factors helps limit deeper losses for the greenback and keeps a lid on the GBP/USD pair, at least for the time being.
Investors remain concerned about the potential economic headwinds stemming from rapidly rising borrowing costs and geopolitical risk. Moreover, China’s zero-COVID policy has been fueling recession fears. This, along with hawkish Fed expectations, should continue to act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and offer some support to the USD.
The GBP/USD pair, meanwhile, reacted little to the fact that the new UK Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt reversed the controversial economic package announced in the mini-budget on September 23. This, in turn, suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside and warrants some caution for aggressive bullish traders.
There isn’t any major market-moving macro data due for release from the UK, while the US economic docket features the Empire State Manufacturing Index later during the early North American session. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment, might influence the USD and provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1275 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1171 and is trading with a change of 0.93 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1275 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0104 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.9300 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1171 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.1139, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.1515 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.1847 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.2478
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1139 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1515 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1847 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2478 |
The previous day high was 1.1367 while the previous day low was 1.1152. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1234, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1285, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.1093, 1.1016, 1.0879
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1308, 1.1445, 1.1522
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1367 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1152 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1381 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0924 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1738 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0339 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1234 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1285 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1093 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1016 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0879 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1308 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1445 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1522 |
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