#USDJPY @ 147.327 picks up bids to reverse late Thursday’s pullback from 24-year high. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#USDJPY @ 147.327 picks up bids to reverse late Thursday’s pullback from 24-year high. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • USD/JPY picks up bids to reverse late Thursday’s pullback from 24-year high.
  • Japan policymakers keep mum on intervention, BOJ’s Kuroda defends currently monetary policy.
  • Yields remain firmer to keep buyers hopeful ahead of the key US consumer-centric data.
  • Japan’s keenly awaited market meddling could offer a notable pullback.

The pair currently trades last at 147.327.

The previous day high was 147.67 while the previous day low was 146.45. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 147.21, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 146.92, expected to provide support.

USD/JPY prints mild gains around 147.30 while printing the eight-day uptrend near the highest levels since 1998 as Tokyo opens on Friday. In doing so, the yen pair stays on the bull’s radar, despite retreating from a multi-year high before a few hours.

The quote’s latest inaction could be linked to the firmer US Treasury yields and the Japanese policymakers’ rejections to confirm the market meddling. Also, anxiety ahead of the US Retail Sales for September and the preliminary readings of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) and the University of Michigan’s (UoM) 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectations for October, appear to act as an additional trading filter.

That said, the US 10-year Treasury yields remain firmer around 3.96% after snapping a two-day downtrend to poke the October 2008 levels. The firmer bond coupons portray the market’s recession fears and rush towards the risk-safety but failed to propel the US dollar the previous day.

Earlier in the day, Japanese Finance Minister (FinMin) Shunichi Suzuki and Bank of Japan Governor (BOJ) Haruhiko Kuroda resisted while signaling any market invention to come from Japanese policymakers due to the latest slump in the yen. “Want to take appropriate action versus excess fx volatility,” said FinMin Suzuki when asked whether Japan could intervene to prop up yen. BOJ’s Kuroda, on the same line, mentioned that the pace of Japan’s economic recovery still slow so BOJ must continue supporting economy.

Alternatively, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) urged the Asian central banks to tighten the monetary policies further, per Reuters, which in turn should have probed the USD/JPY buyers.

On Thursday, a third consecutively softer US Consumer Price Index (CPI) jostled with the 40-year high Core CPI to challenge the market’s outlook and drowned the US Dollar Index (DXY) despite hawkish Fed bets. Talking about the data, the DXY dropped 0.70% to 112.45 by the end of Thursday’s North American session. It’s worth noting that the US CPI rose to 8.2% versus 8.1% market forecasts but eased as compared to the 8.3% prior. The CPI ex Food & Energy, mostly known as the Core CPI, jumped to 6.6% while crossing the 6.5% expectations and 6.3% previous readings.

Moving on, Japan’s meddling is awaited with a keen eye and could quickly drag the USD/JPY. Also important are the consumer-centric data from the US and risk catalysts like Fed bets, recession chatters and covid updates.

USD/JPY’s retreat from the year 1998 top surrounding 147.70 joins the overbought RSI to challenge the bulls. Also acting as an upside filter is an ascending resistance line from late Apri, around 148.95 by the press time.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDJPY currently trading at 147.28 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 147.13 and is trading with a change of 0.10% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 147.28
1 Today Daily Change 0.15
2 Today Daily Change % 0.10%
3 Today daily open 147.13

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 144.59, 50 SMA 140.84, 100 SMA @ 137.77 and 200 SMA @ 129.32.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 144.59
1 Daily SMA50 140.84
2 Daily SMA100 137.77
3 Daily SMA200 129.32

The previous day high was 147.67 while the previous day low was 146.45. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 147.21, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 146.92, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 146.5, 145.86, 145.27
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 147.72, 148.31, 148.94
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 147.67
Previous Daily Low 146.45
Previous Weekly High 145.44
Previous Weekly Low 143.53
Previous Monthly High 145.90
Previous Monthly Low 138.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 147.21
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 146.92
Daily Pivot Point S1 146.50
Daily Pivot Point S2 145.86
Daily Pivot Point S3 145.27
Daily Pivot Point R1 147.72
Daily Pivot Point R2 148.31
Daily Pivot Point R3 148.94

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