#GBPUSD @ 1.12701 comes under some selling pressure on Friday and snaps a two-day winning streak. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD comes under some selling pressure on Friday and snaps a two-day winning streak.
- Aggressive Fed rate hike bets, recession fears revive the USD demand and act as a headwind.
- Bulls also turn cautious ahead of the last day of the BoE’s emergency gilt purchase program.
The pair currently trades last at 1.12701.
The previous day high was 1.1381 while the previous day low was 1.1058. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1257, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1181, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair faces rejection near a descending trend-line resistance extending from late August and edges lower on the last day of the week. The pair drops to the 1.1255-1.1250 area during the early part of the European session and for now, seems to have snapped a two-day losing streak.
The US dollar attracts some dip-buying on Friday stalls the previous day’s sharp retracement slide from the post-US CPI swing high, which, in turn, exerts downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. The early optimistic move in the equity markets fizzles out rather quickly amid concerns about a deeper global economic downturn. This, along with the prospects for a faster policy tightening by the Fed, helps revive demand for the safe-haven greenback.
Furthermore, traders opt to lighten their bullish bets around the British pound amid nervousness over any sudden moves on the last day of the Bank of England’s temporary gilt purchases program. That said, talks about the reversal of the new UK government’s vast tax cuts announced in September act as a tailwind for sterling and help limit deer losses for the GBP/USD pair. This, in turn, warrants some caution before placing aggressive bearish bets.
There isn’t any relevant macro data due for release from the UK on Friday. The US economic docket, meanwhile, features the release of monthly Retail Sales figures, the Prelim Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations Index. This, along with the US bond yields, speeches by influential FOMC members and the broader market risk sentiment, will drive the USD demand and produce short-term trading opportunities around the GBP/USD pair.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1281 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1324 and is trading with a change of -0.38 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1281 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0043 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.3800 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1324 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.1151, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.1532 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.1862 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.249
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1151 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1532 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1862 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2490 |
The previous day high was 1.1381 while the previous day low was 1.1058. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1257, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1181, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.1127, 1.0931, 1.0804
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1451, 1.1577, 1.1774
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1381 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1058 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1496 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1055 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1738 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0339 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1257 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1181 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1127 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0931 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0804 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1451 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1577 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1774 |
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