#EURUSD @ 0.97004 has slipped to near 0.9700 as a rebound in the risk-off impulse has weighed pressure. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• EUR/USD has slipped to near 0.9700 as a rebound in the risk-off impulse has weighed pressure.
• As per CME FedWatch tool, chances for a 75 bps rate hike have sky-rocketed to 84%.
• ECB policymaker is looking to exploit interest rates further to support quantitative tightening.

The pair currently trades last at 0.97004.

The previous day high was 0.9735 while the previous day low was 0.9668. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9694, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9709, expected to provide resistance.

The EUR/USD pair has slipped to near 0.9700 after attempting to overstep the immediate hurdle of 0.9720 in the Tokyo session. The asset has sensed pressure as the US dollar index (DXY) has recovered its entire morning losses and is hovering around 113.30, at the press time. The risk-off impulse has regained traction as anxiety ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is accelerating dramatically.

Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yields have rebounded after dropping to near 3.9%. Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data carries utmost importance as August figures were better than projections.

September’s projections indicate a decline in the headline US CPI data to 8.1% while the core inflation rate could accelerate further to 6.5%. A higher-than-expected inflation report would bring extreme volatility in the risk-perceived currencies as it will bolster the chances of a hefty rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

As per the CME FedWatch tool, chances of a fourth consecutive 75 basis points (bps) rate hike by the Fed have scaled to 84%.

On Wednesday, the minutes of the Fed meeting were loud and clear that bringing price stability is the topmost priority even at the cost of a tight labor market.

Meanwhile, the shared currency bulls have failed to capitalize on hawkish commentary from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde. ECB policymaker stated that the Governing Council is having discussions on Quantitative Tightening (QE) and interest rate is the most appropriate tool in current circumstances.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURUSD currently trading at 0.9703 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9703 and is trading with a change of 0.0 % .

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.9813, 50 SMA 0.9967, 100 SMA @ 1.0181 and 200 SMA @ 1.0594.

The previous day high was 0.9735 while the previous day low was 0.9668. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9694, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9709, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 0.9669, 0.9635, 0.9602
• Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9736, 0.9769, 0.9803

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