#XAUUSD @ 1673.75 Gold price has established comfortably above the $1,670.00 hurdle despite mixed market mood. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold price has established comfortably above the $1,670.00 hurdle despite mixed market mood.
- The odds of a fourth consecutive 75 bps rate hike by the Fed have soared vigorously.
- The mighty DXY has locked in a chartered territory ahead of the US inflation report.
The pair currently trades last at 1673.75.
The previous day high was 1684.05 while the previous day low was 1661.01. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1669.81, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1675.25, expected to provide resistance.
Gold price (XAU/USD) has shifted its business above $1,670.00 despite the mixed responses from the risk profile. The majority of the assets are displaying a lackluster performance while the precious metal seems in a better position after a rebound from around $1,660.00.
The yellow metal has not been impacted by the accelerating chances for a fourth consecutive 75 basis points (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the first week of November. As per CME FedWatch tool, 84.8% odds are favoring a fourth consecutive 75 bps rate hike by the Fed.
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is balancing in a 113.06-113.60 range and is awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for further guidance. The consensus on the inflation report indicates that the headline US CPI will land at 8.1%, lower than the prior release of 8.3% while the core CPI that excludes oil and food prices will accelerate to 6.5% vs. the former print of 6.3%. Thanks to the declining gasoline prices, which have trimmed projections for the headline inflation rate.
Gold price is working hard to sustain itself above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (placed from September’s low at $1,618.68 to October 5 high at $1,726.53) at $1,658.60 on an hourly scale. The precious metal is oscillating in a $1,661.85-1,684.05 range. The 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are on the verge of a bullish crossover of around $1,674.00.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the 40.00-60.00 range from the bearish range of 20.00-40.00 and is attempting to cross the 60.00 hurdle.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1673.66 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1666.28 and is trading with a change of 0.44 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1673.66 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 7.38 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.44 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1666.28 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1674.26, 50 SMA 1718.15, 100 SMA @ 1755.82 and 200 SMA @ 1820.64.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1674.26 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1718.15 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1755.82 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1820.64 |
The previous day high was 1684.05 while the previous day low was 1661.01. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1669.81, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1675.25, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1656.84, 1647.41, 1633.8
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1679.88, 1693.49, 1702.92
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1684.05 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1661.01 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1729.58 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1659.71 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1735.17 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1614.85 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1669.81 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1675.25 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1656.84 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1647.41 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1633.80 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1679.88 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1693.49 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1702.92 |
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