#XAUUSD @ 1667.48 Gold continues losing ground for the fifth straight day and drops to over a one-week low. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#XAUUSD @ 1667.48 Gold continues losing ground for the fifth straight day and drops to over a one-week low. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • Gold continues losing ground for the fifth straight day and drops to over a one-week low.
  • Aggressive Fed rate hike bets, rising US bond yields, a stronger USD weighs on the metal.
  • The risk-off environment does little to impress bullish traders or ease the bearish pressure.

The pair currently trades last at 1667.48.

The previous day high was 1699.96 while the previous day low was 1665.79. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1678.84, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1686.91, expected to provide resistance.

Gold remains under some selling pressure for the fifth successive day on Tuesday and drops to over a one-week low, around the $1,660 area during the first half of the European session. A fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields, along with a stronger US dollar, turns out to be key factors driving flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal.

In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond inches back closer to the 4% threshold amid expectations that the Fed will tighten its monetary policy at a faster pace to tame inflation. The bets were lifted by the overnight hawkish remarks from Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard, reiterating the US central bank’s commitment to bring inflation down.

Elevated US Treasury bond yields push the USD higher for the fifth straight day, which, in turn, is seen exerting additional downward pressure on the dollar-denominated gold. Even, the prevalent risk-off mood – amid growing recession fears, geopolitical risks and fresh US-China trade jitters – does little to lend any support to the safe-haven precious metal.

The market sentiment remains fragile amid worries about economic headwinds stemming from rapidly rising borrowing costs. Apart from this, a further escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the worsening trade ties between the world’s two largest economies tempers investors’ appetite for riskier assets. This, however, fails to provide any respite to the XAU/USD.

There isn’t any relevant market-moving economic data due for release from the US, hence, traders on Tuesday will take cues from speeches by influential FOMC members. This, along with the US bond yields, should influence the USD price dynamics. Apart from this, the broader market risk sentiment might contribute to producing short-term opportunities around gold.

The focus, however, will remain on the FOMC meeting minutes, due on Wednesday, and will be followed by the latest US consumer inflation figures on Thursday. The US CPI is expected to remain stubbornly high and reinforce the Fed’s hawkish rhetoric. This, in turn, suggests that the path of least resistance for gold is to the downside.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XAUUSD currently trading at 1661.29 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1668.67 and is trading with a change of -0.44 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1661.29
1 Today Daily Change -7.38
2 Today Daily Change % -0.44
3 Today daily open 1668.67

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1676.06, 50 SMA 1720.03, 100 SMA @ 1757.82 and 200 SMA @ 1821.31.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1676.06
1 Daily SMA50 1720.03
2 Daily SMA100 1757.82
3 Daily SMA200 1821.31

The previous day high was 1699.96 while the previous day low was 1665.79. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1678.84, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1686.91, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1656.32, 1643.97, 1622.15
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1690.49, 1712.31, 1724.66
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1699.96
Previous Daily Low 1665.79
Previous Weekly High 1729.58
Previous Weekly Low 1659.71
Previous Monthly High 1735.17
Previous Monthly Low 1614.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1678.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1686.91
Daily Pivot Point S1 1656.32
Daily Pivot Point S2 1643.97
Daily Pivot Point S3 1622.15
Daily Pivot Point R1 1690.49
Daily Pivot Point R2 1712.31
Daily Pivot Point R3 1724.66

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