#XAUUSD @ 1700.47 Gold price is facing less-confident hurdles around $1,700.00 after a vertical rally. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold price is facing less-confident hurdles around $1,700.00 after a vertical rally.
- Downbeat performance from US ISM Manufacturing data has weakened the DXY.
- Lower consensus for labor cost index data is becoming a concern for the DXY.
The pair currently trades last at 1700.47.
The previous day high was 1675.49 while the previous day low was 1659.31. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1665.49, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1669.31, expected to provide support.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is hovering around the psychological resistance of $1,700.00 in the early Asian session. The precious metal displayed a juggernaut rally after delivering an upside break of the consolidation formed in a range of $1,660.00-1,675.70 in the past three trading sessions and is now facing pressure around $1,700.00. The yellow metal is expected to spend a little time around the critical resistance and will prepare for a further impulsive wave.
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has printed a fresh weekly low at 111.47 and is looking to decline further on sluggish economic fundamentals. Weaker US ISM Manufacturing PMI data and lower consensus for US employment data are responsible for corrective action in the DXY. The US ISM Manufacturing PMI declined to 50.9 vs. the expectations of 52.2 and the prior release of 52.8.
This week, the release of the US NFP data will keep the DXY on the tenterhooks. The US NFP is seen lower at 250k vs. the prior release of 315k. While the Unemployment Rate is seen stabilizing at 3.7%. Apart from that, investors will keenly focus on the Average Hourly Earnings data. As price pressures have not shifted significantly to the lower side, the earnings data holds meaningful importance. The labor cost index is seen lower by 10 basis points (bps) to 5.1% on an annual basis.
Gold prices have witnessed a juggernaut rally after an upside break of the Rising Channel chart pattern on an hourly scale. An upside break of the above-mentioned chart pattern plotted from Wednesday’s high at $1,662.80 and Thursday’s low at $1,641.59 displays the sheer confidence of bulls.
A formation of a golden cross, represented by the 50-and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,656.50 is indicating more upside ahead.
Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which advocates the continuation of upside momentum.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1700.44 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1660.52 and is trading with a change of 2.4 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1700.44 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 39.92 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 2.40 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1660.52 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1679.23, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1724.96 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1765.61 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1824.61
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1679.23 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1724.96 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1765.61 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1824.61 |
The previous day high was 1675.49 while the previous day low was 1659.31. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1665.49, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1669.31, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1654.72, 1648.93, 1638.54
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1670.9, 1681.29, 1687.08
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1675.49 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1659.31 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1675.49 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1614.85 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1735.17 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1614.85 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1665.49 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1669.31 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1654.72 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1648.93 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1638.54 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1670.90 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1681.29 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1687.08 |
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