#GBPUSD @ 1.11652 is expected to smash 1.1200 as the DXY is displaying a subdued performance. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD is expected to smash 1.1200 as the DXY is displaying a subdued performance.
- Weaker consensus for US ISM Manufacturing PMI would keep the DXY on the back foot.
- The UK economy reported upbeat GDP data despite various headwinds.
The pair currently trades last at 1.11652.
The previous day high was 1.1235 while the previous day low was 1.1025. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1155, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1105, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair is struggling to smash the immediate hurdle of 1.1200 in the early Tokyo session. The cable has displayed a modest upside move after the termination of the corrective move to near 1.1022. The major is expected to continue its lackluster performance in the 1.1100-1.1170 range and will later display a bullish imbalanced move.
On Friday, the pound bulls didn’t respond in expectation to the upbeat UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. The UK National Statistics reported that the economic activities in the UK economy have grown by 0.2% against the expectation of a decline of 0.1% on a quarterly basis. Also, the annual data has improved dramatically to 4.4% vs. the projections and the prior release of 2.9%.
There is no denying the fact that the deepening energy crisis has hurt the sentiment of UK households. Apart from that, galloping price pressures, weak economic fundamentals, and the inability to generate decent employment opportunities have created chaos for the Bank of England (BOE) policymakers. Despite the several headwinds the pound region has managed to display an uptick in the GDP data.
Meanwhile, the ongoing bond-buying program by the BOE to bring stability to the financial markets is offsetting the impact of hawkish monetary policy to a certain point.
The US dollar index (DXY) is expected to drop below the immediate support of 112.00 on lower consensus for the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data.
According to the estimates, the US ISM Manufacturing data will release at 52.3 vs. the former release of 52.8. Accelerating interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) to bring price stability to the economy has forced the corporate to withdraw their expansion and investment plans. Adding to that, the US ISM New Orders Index PMI data will trim sharply to 49.6 vs. the prior release of 51.3.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1172 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1167 and is trading with a change of 0.04 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1172 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0005 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.0400 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1167 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.1303, 50 SMA 1.1702, 100 SMA @ 1.1978 and 200 SMA @ 1.2593.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1303 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1702 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1978 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2593 |
The previous day high was 1.1235 while the previous day low was 1.1025. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1155, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1105, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.105, 1.0933, 1.084
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1259, 1.1352, 1.1469
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1235 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1025 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1235 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0339 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1738 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0339 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1155 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1105 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1050 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0933 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0840 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1259 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1352 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1469 |
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