#EURJPY @ 142.021 has stabilized above 142.00 on soaring hawkish ECB bets. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/JPY has stabilized above 142.00 on soaring hawkish ECB bets.
- The yen bulls have failed to capitalize on upbeat Japanese economic data.
- Eurozone Consumer Confidence has remained in line with estimates and German Retail Sales may plunge ahead.
The pair currently trades last at 142.021.
The previous day high was 141.82 while the previous day low was 139.42. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 140.91, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 140.34, expected to provide support.
The EUR/JPY pair has displayed a juggernaut rally after overstepping the round-level hurdle of 140.00. The asset is moving north vertically and has established above the immediate resistance of 142.00 in the Asian session. The cross has not sensed any selling pressure despite the release of upbeat Japanese economic data.
Japan’s Unemployment Rate has justified the estimates of 2.5% and remained lower than the prior release of 2.6%. While the Jobs/Applicants Ratio improved to 1.32 vs. the forecasts of 1.30 and the former print of 1.29.
Adding to that, the Retail Sales data has improved significantly to 4.1%, higher than the forecast of 2.8% and the prior figure of 2.4%. The retail demand seems upbeat in the Japanese economy, which is a result of the continuous injection of liquidity into the economy by the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ believes that the economy needs stimulus to revive the growth rate recorded in the pre-pandemic era. Also, Industrial Production has accelerated to 5.1% from a decline of 2% on an annual basis.
Meanwhile, the shared currency bulls are performing well after the hawkish commentary by the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde. The ECB is expected to tighten its policy further as it has come with specified guidance. The ECB will hike its interest rate by 125 basis points (bps) in the coming monetary policy meeting.
On the economic front, the Eurozone Consumer Confidence has remained in line with the estimates and the prior release but is still worse at -28.8. Going forward, the German Retail Sales data will catch the spotlight. The economic data is expected to decline firmly by 5.1% vs. the prior release of a decline of 2.6% on an annual basis.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURJPY currently trading at 142.12 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 141.82 and is trading with a change of 0.21 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 142.12 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.30 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.21 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 141.82 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 141.89, 50 SMA 139.16, 100 SMA @ 139.35 and 200 SMA @ 135.82.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 141.89 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 139.16 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 139.35 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 135.82 |
The previous day high was 141.82 while the previous day low was 139.42. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 140.91, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 140.34, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 140.22, 138.62, 137.82
- Pivot resistance is noted at 142.62, 143.42, 145.03
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 141.82 |
| Previous Daily Low | 139.42 |
| Previous Weekly High | 144.04 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 138.67 |
| Previous Monthly High | 139.73 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 133.40 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 140.91 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 140.34 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 140.22 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 138.62 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 137.82 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 142.62 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 143.42 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 145.03 |
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