#NZDUSD @ 0.57165 fades recovery moves from a two-year low., @nehcap view: Further upside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- NZD/USD fades recovery moves from a two-year low.
- Convergence of previous resistance line, 100-HMA challenges sellers.
- RSI retreat favor pullback in prices but bullish MACD, 0.5700 breakout keeps buyers hopeful.
The pair currently trades last at 0.57165.
The previous day high was 0.5722 while the previous day low was 0.5624. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.5685, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5662, expected to provide support.
NZD/USD retreats to 0.5718 while snapping a two-day uptrend during Thursday’s quiet Asian session. In doing so, the Kiwi pair reverses the previous day’s bounce off the yearly bottom as the RSI (14) eases from the overbought region.
Even so, the quote keeps Wednesday’s upside break of the 0.5700 resistance confluence comprising the 100-HMA and a downward sloping trend line from September 13, now acting as immediate support.
Also adding strength to the 0.5700 support level is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of September 13-28 moves. It should be noted that the bullish MACD signals also keep the NZD/USD buyers hopeful.
That said, the 50-HMA acts as the last defense of the pair buyers around 0.5660, a break of which won’t hesitate to recall the bears targeting the fresh yearly low, currently near 0.5565.
Meanwhile, recovery moves need to cross the latest swing high surrounding 0.5740 to recall the NZD/USD buyers. Following that, the September 22 swing low near 0.5800 will be in focus.
However, the traders can doubt the recovery unless the pair remains below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.5935.
Trend: Further upside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
NZDUSD currently trading at 0.5719 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.5705 and is trading with a change of 0.25 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.5719 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0014 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.2500 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.5705 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.597, 50 SMA 0.6148, 100 SMA @ 0.6231 and 200 SMA @ 0.649.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.5970 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6148 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6231 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6490 |
The previous day high was 0.5722 while the previous day low was 0.5624. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.5685, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5662, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.5645, 0.5585, 0.5547
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.5744, 0.5782, 0.5842
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.5722 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.5624 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6003 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.5730 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6470 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6101 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.5685 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.5662 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.5645 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.5585 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.5547 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.5744 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.5782 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.5842 |
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