#GBPUSD @ 1.08551 reverses an intraday dip, though struggles to make it through the 1.0900 mark. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD reverses an intraday dip, though struggles to make it through the 1.0900 mark.
- Concerns about rising UK debt continue to undermine sterling and acts as a headwind.
- Recession fears, resurgent USD demand contributes to capping the upside for the major.
The pair currently trades last at 1.08551.
The previous day high was 1.0916 while the previous day low was 1.054. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0772, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0683, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair recovers early lost ground to the 1.0765-1.0760 area and climbs to a fresh daily high during the mid-European session. Spot prices, however, struggle to capitalize on the move and remain below the 1.0900 round-figure mark.
The Bank of England’s move on Wednesday to buy long-term bonds to restore stability appears to have calmed the market and acts as a tailwind for the British pound. This, in turn, assists the GBP/USD pair to attract some dip-buying, though a combination of factors continues to act as a headwind and caps any meaningful upside for spot prices.
Investors seem less confident in the UK government’s ability to manage the ballooning debt, especially after the announcement of the mini-budged last week. The massive unfunded tax cuts could stretch Britain’s finances to their limits and derail the BoE’s efforts to contain sky-high inflation, creating additional headwinds for the UK economy.
Apart from this, the emergence of fresh US dollar buying further contributes to keeping a lid on the GBP/USD pair, at least for the time being. Growing acceptance that the Fed will tighten its policy more aggressively to curb inflation triggers a fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields. This, along with the risk-off impulse, underpins the safe-haven buck.
The aforementioned factors make it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before positioning for a further recovery in the GBP/USD pair, from an all-time low touched earlier this week. In the absence of any major market-moving economic releases from the UK, traders on Thursday will take cues from a speech by BoE Deputy Governor David Ramsden.
Traders will further take cues from the US economic docket, featuring the release of the final Q2 GDP print and the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims. This, along with speeches by influential FOMC members and the US bond yields, will drive the greenback demand and contribute to producing short-term trading opportunities around the GBP/USD pair.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.0872 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.089 and is trading with a change of -0.17 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0872 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0018 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.1700 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0890 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.1341, 50 SMA 1.1736, 100 SMA @ 1.2 and 200 SMA @ 1.2616.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1341 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1736 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2000 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2616 |
The previous day high was 1.0916 while the previous day low was 1.054. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0772, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0683, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0648, 1.0405, 1.0271
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1024, 1.1158, 1.1401
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0916 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0540 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1461 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0840 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2294 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1599 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0772 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0683 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0648 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0405 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0271 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1024 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1158 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1401 |
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