#XAUUSD @ 1623.65 Gold prices are aiming to test $1,620.00 as 10-year benchmark US yields have touched 4%. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold prices are aiming to test $1,620.00 as 10-year benchmark US yields have touched 4%.
- As inflation has not responded well to soaring interest rates, Fed Powell will to its hawkish stance.
- A roadmap for hiking the interest rates in the remaining 2022 will be discussed by the Fed.
The pair currently trades last at 1623.65.
The previous day high was 1642.5 while the previous day low was 1621.76. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1634.58, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1629.68, expected to provide resistance.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is oscillating around $1,625.00 after dropping below the consolidation range of $1,626.83-1,632.72 in the Asian session. The precious metal is continuously declining after facing barricades above $1,640.00. The yellow metal is expected to drop to near $1,620.00 amid soaring US Treasury yields. Also, the market participants will keep the bright metal on the tenterhooks ahead of the speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell.
Considering the responsiveness of the decline in the price pressures vs. the pace of hiking interest rates by the central bank, Fed Powell will sound hawkish and provide a roadmap of further rate hikes in the remaining 2022. In 2023, the Fed will prefer to remain data-dependent. One thing is for sure the Fed will scale down the pace of hiking rates in 2023 as the deviation between current rates and the targeted terminal rate at 4.6% is low.
Meanwhile, the ongoing fight against inflationary pressures is fueling the US Treasury yields. The 10-year benchmark has touched a high of 4% for the first time since 2010. The yields have sensed selling pressure after hitting the critical but have opened room for further upside.
Gold prices are displaying a volatility contraction amid auctioning in a bounded territory of $1,621.46-1,649.83 on an hourly scale. An explosion in the same will result in wider ticks and heavy volume. The horizontal resistance is plotted from Sep 16 low at $1,654.17.
The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at around $1,640.00 has acted as a major barrier for the counter. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which will trigger a downside momentum.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1624.64 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1629.06 and is trading with a change of -0.27 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1624.64 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -4.42 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.27 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1629.06 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1686.23, 50 SMA 1728.21, 100 SMA @ 1770.66 and 200 SMA @ 1826.72.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1686.23 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1728.21 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1770.66 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1826.72 |
The previous day high was 1642.5 while the previous day low was 1621.76. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1634.58, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1629.68, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1619.71, 1610.37, 1598.97
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1640.45, 1651.85, 1661.19
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1642.50 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1621.76 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1688.11 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1639.85 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1807.93 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1709.68 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1634.58 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1629.68 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1619.71 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1610.37 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1598.97 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1640.45 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1651.85 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1661.19 |
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