Asian indices have plunged as 10-year benchmark yields have touched a high of 4%. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Asian indices have plunged as 10-year benchmark yields have touched a high of 4%.
- Japanese equities are plummeting as firms are set to report a weak quarterly result season.
- Investors should brace for a hawkish tone by the Fed Powell while delivering Wednesday’s speech.
The pair currently trades last at 26490.88.
The previous day high was 26701.85 while the previous day low was 26393.74. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 26511.44, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 26584.15, expected to provide resistance.
Markets in the Asian domain are displaying a vulnerable performance as US Treasury yields have advanced sharply on expectations of further acceleration in the interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed). As the Federal Reserve (Fed) is preparing to reach the desired terminal rate of 4.6% sooner to achieve price stability in the economy, yields are gaining traction. The 10-year benchmark US Treasury yields have kissed 4% for the first time since 2010.
At the press time, Japan’s Nikkei225 plunged 2.11%, Hang Seng nosedived 2.82% while SZSE Component tumbled 1.46%.
Japanese equities have continued their falling spree as an unscheduled bond-buying program by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) could crush the upside momentum in Japanese yen. The depreciating yen is a major concern for the Japanese government as corporate margins are dropping led by increment in imported inputs prices. The third quarterly result season in the Japanese economy is at the gateway and major firms are expected to report pain in their EBITDA margins.
Meanwhile, Chinese indices are facing pressure after the World Bank slashed growth rates for 2023 due to ongoing zero tolerance toward Covid-19 and the real estate crisis. A slump in demand for real estate has also trimmed demand for steel, base metals, cement, and other building materials in the Chinese economy.
Going forward, the speech from Fed chair Jerome Powell will be of utmost importance. As price pressures are not displaying a promising decline, investors are expected ‘hawkish’ guidance on interest rates.
On the oil front, oil prices are witnessing subdued moves ahead of the release of the inventory data by the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The agency is displaying a build-up of stockpiles for the past three weeks and a similar pattern is expected this week. As per the consensus, the EIA will report a build-up of oil inventories by 0.333 million barrels for the past week.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XTIUSD currently trading at 26490.88 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 26490.88 and is trading with a change of 0.0 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 26490.88 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.00 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.00 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 26490.88 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 27571.05, 50 SMA 27902.66, 100 SMA @ 27316.5 and 200 SMA @ 27321.96.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 27571.05 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 27902.66 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 27316.50 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 27321.96 |
The previous day high was 26701.85 while the previous day low was 26393.74. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 26511.44, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 26584.15, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 26355.8, 26220.71, 26047.69
- Pivot resistance is noted at 26663.91, 26836.93, 26972.02
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 26701.85 |
| Previous Daily Low | 26393.74 |
| Previous Weekly High | 27768.51 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 26478.10 |
| Previous Monthly High | 29245.74 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 27530.70 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 26511.44 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 26584.15 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 26355.80 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 26220.71 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 26047.69 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 26663.91 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 26836.93 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 26972.02 |
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