#GBPUSD @ 1.07151 stages a goodish intraday bounce from an all-time low touched earlier this Monday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• GBP/USD stages a goodish intraday bounce from an all-time low touched earlier this Monday.
• Speculations for BoE intervention offer support to sterling and prompt intraday short-covering.
• A modest USD profit-taking slide from a fresh two-decade high contributes to the momentum.
• A combination of factors should keep a lid on any meaningful upside for the pair, at least for now.

The pair currently trades last at 1.07151.

The previous day high was 1.1274 while the previous day low was 1.084. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1006, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1108, expected to provide resistance.

The GBP/USD pair manages to recover a major part of its early lost ground to an all-time low and moves back to the 1.0700 mark during the first half of the European session. The attempted recovery, however, lacks follow-through buying and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly.

Speculations that the Bank of England will have to step in to stabilise the domestic currency helped the British pound to stall its free-fall that followed the new UK government’s mini-budget on Friday. This, in turn, leads to an intraday US dollar profit-taking slide from a fresh two-decade high, which further contributes to the GBP/USD pair’s intraday recovery of over 400 pips from the 1.0330 area.

That said, a more hawkish stance adopted by the Fed, along with a further rise in the US Treasury bond yields and the prevalent risk-off mood, should help limit any meaningful USD corrective slide. In fact, the Fed last week delivered another supersized rate hike and signalled that it will likely undertake more aggressive increases at its upcoming meetings to combat stubbornly high inflation.

This, in turn, pushes the yield on the rate-sensitive 2-year US government bond to a 15-year peak and the benchmark 10-year Treasury note to its highest level in 11 years. Meanwhile, the rapidly rising borrowing costs, along with the risk of a further escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have been fueling concerns about a deeper global economic downturn and weighing on investors’ sentiment.

The anti-risk flow is evident from a generally weaker tone around the equity markets, which could lend some support to the safe-haven greenback. Furthermore, the lack of confidence in the government’s ability to manage the ballooning debt might continue to act as a headwind for sterling. This, in turn, should keep a lid on any meaningful upside for the GBP/USD pair, at least for now.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.0708 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.086 and is trading with a change of -1.4 % .

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.1475, 50 SMA 1.1808, 100 SMA @ 1.2045 and 200 SMA @ 1.2654.

The previous day high was 1.1274 while the previous day low was 1.084. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1006, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1108, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 1.0708, 1.0557, 1.0274
• Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1143, 1.1426, 1.1577

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