US Dollar Index takes the bids to refresh multi-year high as yields rebound. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- US Dollar Index takes the bids to refresh multi-year high as yields rebound.
- Fed’s 0.75% rate hike, fears of economic transition and dot-plot keeps DXY bulls hopeful.
- Headlines from Russia, China also underpin the US dollars safe-haven deamand.
The pair currently trades last at 111.61.
The previous day high was 111.57 while the previous day low was 110.14. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 111.02, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 110.68, expected to provide support.
US Dollar Index (DXY) takes the bids to refresh the two-decade top as it rises to 111.65 during Thursday’s Asian session. In doing so, the greenback’s gauge versus the six major currencies rises for the third consecutive day to poke the mid-2002 levels.
The quote’s latest rebound could be linked to the US Treasury yields as the bond coupons regain upside momentum after retreating from the multi-year high the previous day. That said, the US 10-year Treasury yields bounce back towards the 11-year high marked the previous day, up three basis points (bps) near 3.55% whereas the 2-year counterpart rises 0.75% intraday to 4.085% at the latest, near the highest levels in 15 years.
Previously, US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced 75 basis points (bps) of a rate hike, the third one in a line of such kind, as it wants to tame inflation fears even at the cost of a “sustained period of below-trend growth” and a softening in the labor market. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell also signaled that the way to tame inflation isn’t painless ahead. While the Fed matched market forecasts, the economic fears surrounding the rate hikes and expectations of another 0.75% increase in November kept the US Dollar on the front foot, despite marking heavy volatility around the announcements.
Also supporting the greenback’s safe-haven demand was Russian President Vladimir Putin’s announcement to mobilize partial troops also reignited the Ukraine-linked geopolitical fears and the supply-crunch fears, which offered an initial run-up to oil prices before the latest downside. Recently, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukrainian neutrality is out of the question and he rules out that a settlement can happen on a different basis than the Ukrainian peace formula.
Amid these plays, Wall Street closed in the red and the S&P 500 Futures print mild losses by the press time.
Moving on, the risk catalysts and the second-tier data could entertain DXY bulls.
US Dollar Index remains on the bull’s radar unless declining back below the 111.30 level comprising the late 2001 swing low.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 111.61 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 111.37 and is trading with a change of 0.22% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 111.61 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.24 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.22% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 111.37 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 109.5, 50 SMA 107.91, 100 SMA @ 106.01 and 200 SMA @ 101.89.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 109.50 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 107.91 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 106.01 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 101.89 |
The previous day high was 111.57 while the previous day low was 110.14. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 111.02, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 110.68, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 110.48, 109.59, 109.04
- Pivot resistance is noted at 111.91, 112.46, 113.35
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 111.57 |
| Previous Daily Low | 110.14 |
| Previous Weekly High | 110.26 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 107.67 |
| Previous Monthly High | 109.48 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 104.64 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 111.02 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 110.68 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 110.48 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 109.59 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 109.04 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 111.91 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 112.46 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 113.35 |
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