#GBPUSD @ 1.13302 stages a goodish intraday recovery from its lowest level since 1985. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD stages a goodish intraday recovery from its lowest level since 1985.
- A modest USD pullback from a new two-decade high offer supports to the pair.
- The market focus remains glued to the crucial BoE monetary policy decision.
The pair currently trades last at 1.13302.
The previous day high was 1.1385 while the previous day low was 1.1237. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1294, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1328, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair attracts some buying in the vicinity of the 1.1200 mark and rebounds from its lowest level since 1985 touched during the early European session this Thursday. The pair is currently trading near the daily high, just below the 1.1300 mark, though any meaningful recovery seems elusive as the focus remains on the crucial Bank of England policy decision.
Heading into the key central bank event risk, some repositioning trade turns out to be a key factor offering support to the GBP/USD pair. Apart from this, the intraday uptick could further be attributed to some cross-driven strength stemming from a dovish Bank of Japan-inspired rally in the GBP/JPY cross. Furthermore, a modest US dollar pullback from a new 20-year peak remains supportive of the modest recovery move.
The USD downtick, meanwhile, lacks any obvious fundamental catalyst and is likely to remain limited amid a more hawkish stance adopted by the Federal Reserve. In fact, the Fed raised interest rates by another 75 bps on Wednesday and signalled more aggressive rate increases at its upcoming meetings. This, along with the prevalent risk-off mood, should act as a tailwind for the safe-haven buck and cap the GBP/USD pair.
Traders might also prefer to move to the sidelines and wait for the BoE monetary policy update before placing aggressive bets. The UK central bank is expected to step up its efforts to curb inflation and deliver a supersized 75 bps rate increase on Thursday. Investors will also look to the accompanying policy statement for clues about future rate hikes amid growing recession risks, which will influence the British pound.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1296 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1267 and is trading with a change of 0.26 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1296 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0029 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.2600 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1267 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.1548, 50 SMA 1.1839, 100 SMA @ 1.2071 and 200 SMA @ 1.2676.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1548 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1839 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2071 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2676 |
The previous day high was 1.1385 while the previous day low was 1.1237. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1294, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1328, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.1208, 1.1149, 1.106
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1355, 1.1444, 1.1503
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1385 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1237 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1738 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1351 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2294 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1599 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1294 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1328 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1208 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1149 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1060 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1355 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1444 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1503 |
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