#XAUUSD @ 1665.54 Gold comes under renewed selling pressure on Tuesday amid resurgent USD demand. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold comes under renewed selling pressure on Tuesday amid resurgent USD demand.
- Aggressive Fed rate hike bets lift the US bond yields and continue to underpin the buck.
- The risk-off impulse fails to lend support to the XAU/USD ahead of the FOMC meeting.
The pair currently trades last at 1665.54.
The previous day high was 1680.02 while the previous day low was 1659.71. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1672.26, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1667.47, expected to provide resistance.
Gold meets with a fresh supply on Tuesday and extends its steady intraday descent through the early North American session. The XAU/USD is currently placed around the $1,660 level, down nearly 0.90% for the day, and remains well within the striking distance of its lowest level since April 2020 touched on Friday.
The US dollar catches aggressive bids and makes a solid comeback from a one-week low, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor exerting downward pressure on the dollar-denominated commodity. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to deliver a third successive super-sized 75 bps rate hike at the end of a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday. The markets have also been pricing in a smaller chance of a full 100 bps rate increase, which remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and continues to act as a tailwind for the buck.
In fact, the yield on the rate-sensitive two-year US government bond stands tall near its highest level since November 2007. Adding to this, the benchmark 10-year Treasury note reaches a level not seen since April 2011, which is seen as another factor that contributes to driving flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal. The intraday downfall seems rather unaffected by the risk-off impulse, which tends to offer some support to the safe-haven gold. This, in turn, suggests that the path of least resistance for the XAU/USD is to the downside.
Apart from the highly-anticipated FOMC decision, the focus will be on the updated economic projections, the so-called dot plot and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments at the post-meeting press conference. Investors will look for clues about the future rate hike path, which will influence the near-term USD price dynamics and help determine the next leg of a directional move for gold. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop still seems tilted in favour of bearish traders and any attempted recovery move might still be seen as a selling opportunity.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1662.43 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1675.88 and is trading with a change of -0.8 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1662.43 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -13.45 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.80 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1675.88 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1713.76, 50 SMA 1736.09, 100 SMA @ 1783.63 and 200 SMA @ 1830.79.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1713.76 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1736.09 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1783.63 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1830.79 |
The previous day high was 1680.02 while the previous day low was 1659.71. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1672.26, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1667.47, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1663.72, 1651.56, 1643.41
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1684.03, 1692.18, 1704.34
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1680.02 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1659.71 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1735.17 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1654.17 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1807.93 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1709.68 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1672.26 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1667.47 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1663.72 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1651.56 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1643.41 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1684.03 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1692.18 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1704.34 |
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