#XAUUSD @ 1665.14 Gold price has slipped below the $1,661.18-1,667.78 demand zone on accelerating hawkish Fed bets. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold price has slipped below the $1,661.18-1,667.78 demand zone on accelerating hawkish Fed bets.
- Long liquidation has brought a correction in the DXY.
- The US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is seen higher at 60 vs. 58.2 reported earlier.
The pair currently trades last at 1665.14.
The previous day high was 1698.49 while the previous day low was 1660.39. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1674.94, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1683.94, expected to provide resistance.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is displaying a balanced profile in a narrow range of $1.661.51-1,666.76 after surrendering the critical support of $1,670.00 in the Tokyo session. The precious metal witnessed a vertical fall on Thursday after delivering a downside break of the consolidation formed in a $1,685.75-1,690.23 range. The yellow metal has refreshed its two-year low at $1,660.44 and is expected to witness more weakness amid soaring bets for a full percent rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
The Fed is bound to bring price stability to the economy even at the cost of growth prospects. As investors are aware of the fact that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained higher than expectations for August despite falling gasoline prices, the Fed is at least needed to keep the pace of hiking interest rates. As price pressures are not responding well to the current pace of rate hikes, the Fed is left with no other option than to lift interest rates by 100 basis points (bps).
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is declining after displaying a lackluster performance, followed by a juggernaut rally. This could be the case of long liquidation as the upside bias is intact o higher consensus for US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The sentiment data is seen higher at 60 vs. the prior release of 58.2.
Gold price has delivered a downside break of the demand zone placed in a narrow range of $1,661.18-1,667.78 on a weekly scale. This will keep the yellow metal on the tenterhooks for a prolonged period. The precious metal has surrendered the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,692.64, which signals that the long-term trend has turned down.
Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted inside the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which has triggered a downside momentum.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1667.44 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1664.94 and is trading with a change of 0.15 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1667.44 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 2.50 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.15 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1664.94 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1720.43, 50 SMA 1738.61, 100 SMA @ 1787.72 and 200 SMA @ 1831.83.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1720.43 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1738.61 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1787.72 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1831.83 |
The previous day high was 1698.49 while the previous day low was 1660.39. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1674.94, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1683.94, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1650.72, 1636.51, 1612.62
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1688.82, 1712.71, 1726.92
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1698.49 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1660.39 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1729.57 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1691.47 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1807.93 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1709.68 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1674.94 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1683.94 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1650.72 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1636.51 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1612.62 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1688.82 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1712.71 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1726.92 |
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