#XAGUSD @ 19.623 climbed on a risk-on impulse and lowered US T-bond yields. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- XAG/USD climbed on a risk-on impulse and lowered US T-bond yields.
- US PPI for August tempered inflationary pressures on the producer side.
- XAG/USD Price Analysis: Break above $20.00 to send silver towards $21.00 mark.
The pair currently trades last at 19.623.
The previous day high was 19.95 while the previous day low was 19.33. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 19.57, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 19.71, expected to provide resistance.
Silver price rebounds at around the 50-day EMA and climbs towards a daily high near $19.69 on Wednesday after the US Labor Department revealed that August PPI was aligned with expectations easing inflationary pressures on the producer side, contrarily to Tuesday’s CPI.
Therefore, the XAG/USD is trading at $19.61, above its opening price by 1.86%.
Before Wall Street opened, US data revealed by the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) showed that the PPI for August shrank by 0.1%, aligned with the consensus, while the year-over-year figure was down at 8.7%, less than July’s 9.8% report. Meanwhile, the so-called core PPI, which excludes volatile items, edged higher, 0.4% MoM, but on an annual reading, edged up by 7.3%.
In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, a measure of the buck’s value against a basket of six currencies, finished Wednesday’s session down by 0.15%, at 109.648, undermined by US Treasury yields, mainly the 10-year benchmark note rate, unmoved during the day at around 3.404%.
The reflection of the abovementioned is the US Dollar Index, losing some traction, down by 0.09%, below the 110.000 mark. At the same time, the US 10-year benchmark note rate shows signs of exhaustion, flat at around 3.414%.
Another tailwind for the white metal prices was that the US 10-year TIPS, a proxy for real yields, gained only one bps, sitting at 0.939%.
On Thursday, the US economic docket will feature unemployment claims, retail sales, and the New York and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Indices, a prelude for October’s ISM report.
Silver Price Analysis (XAG/USD): Technical outlook
The XAG/USD daily chart illustrates the white metal as neutral-to-downward biased. However, if silver buyers reclaim the $20.00 mark, that could pave the way for a test of a four-month-old downslope trendline around $20.20 before reaching the 100-day EMA at $20.39. A breach of the latter will expose the August 15 cycle high at $20.87, ahead of the $21.00 psychological level.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAGUSD currently trading at 19.61 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 19.33 and is trading with a change of 1.55 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 19.61 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.30 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 1.55 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 19.33 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 18.8, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 19.24 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 20.45 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 22.17
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 18.80 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 19.24 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 20.45 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 22.17 |
The previous day high was 19.95 while the previous day low was 19.33. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 19.57, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 19.71, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 19.13, 18.92, 18.51
- Pivot resistance is noted at 19.74, 20.15, 20.36
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 19.95 |
| Previous Daily Low | 19.33 |
| Previous Weekly High | 18.95 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 17.85 |
| Previous Monthly High | 20.88 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 17.94 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 19.57 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 19.71 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 19.13 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 18.92 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 18.51 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 19.74 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 20.15 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 20.36 |
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