#XAGUSD @ 19.623 climbed on a risk-on impulse and lowered US T-bond yields. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#XAGUSD @ 19.623 climbed on a risk-on impulse and lowered US T-bond yields. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • XAG/USD climbed on a risk-on impulse and lowered US T-bond yields.
  • US PPI for August tempered inflationary pressures on the producer side.
  • XAG/USD Price Analysis: Break above $20.00 to send silver towards $21.00 mark.

The pair currently trades last at 19.623.

The previous day high was 19.95 while the previous day low was 19.33. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 19.57, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 19.71, expected to provide resistance.

Silver price rebounds at around the 50-day EMA and climbs towards a daily high near $19.69 on Wednesday after the US Labor Department revealed that August PPI was aligned with expectations easing inflationary pressures on the producer side, contrarily to Tuesday’s CPI.

Therefore, the XAG/USD is trading at $19.61, above its opening price by 1.86%.

Before Wall Street opened, US data revealed by the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) showed that the PPI for August shrank by 0.1%, aligned with the consensus, while the year-over-year figure was down at 8.7%, less than July’s 9.8% report. Meanwhile, the so-called core PPI, which excludes volatile items, edged higher, 0.4% MoM, but on an annual reading, edged up by 7.3%.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, a measure of the buck’s value against a basket of six currencies, finished Wednesday’s session down by 0.15%, at 109.648, undermined by US Treasury yields, mainly the 10-year benchmark note rate, unmoved during the day at around 3.404%.

The reflection of the abovementioned is the US Dollar Index, losing some traction, down by 0.09%, below the 110.000 mark. At the same time, the US 10-year benchmark note rate shows signs of exhaustion, flat at around 3.414%.

Another tailwind for the white metal prices was that the US 10-year TIPS, a proxy for real yields, gained only one bps, sitting at 0.939%.

On Thursday, the US economic docket will feature unemployment claims, retail sales, and the New York and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Indices, a prelude for October’s ISM report.

Silver Price Analysis (XAG/USD): Technical outlook

The XAG/USD daily chart illustrates the white metal as neutral-to-downward biased. However, if silver buyers reclaim the $20.00 mark, that could pave the way for a test of a four-month-old downslope trendline around $20.20 before reaching the 100-day EMA at $20.39. A breach of the latter will expose the August 15 cycle high at $20.87, ahead of the $21.00 psychological level.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XAGUSD currently trading at 19.61 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 19.33 and is trading with a change of 1.55 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 19.61
1 Today Daily Change 0.30
2 Today Daily Change % 1.55
3 Today daily open 19.33

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 18.8, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 19.24 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 20.45 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 22.17

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 18.80
1 Daily SMA50 19.24
2 Daily SMA100 20.45
3 Daily SMA200 22.17

The previous day high was 19.95 while the previous day low was 19.33. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 19.57, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 19.71, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 19.13, 18.92, 18.51
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 19.74, 20.15, 20.36
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 19.95
Previous Daily Low 19.33
Previous Weekly High 18.95
Previous Weekly Low 17.85
Previous Monthly High 20.88
Previous Monthly Low 17.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 19.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 19.71
Daily Pivot Point S1 19.13
Daily Pivot Point S2 18.92
Daily Pivot Point S3 18.51
Daily Pivot Point R1 19.74
Daily Pivot Point R2 20.15
Daily Pivot Point R3 20.36

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