#NZDUSD @ 0.59881 struggles to gain traction and languishes near its lowest level since May 2020. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- NZD/USD struggles to gain traction and languishes near its lowest level since May 2020.
- Signs of stability in equity markets undermine the USD and seem to offer some support.
- Bets for aggressive Fed rate hikes support prospects for a further downfall for the major.
The pair currently trades last at 0.59881.
The previous day high was 0.6162 while the previous day low was 0.5986. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6053, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6095, expected to provide resistance.
The NZD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday uptick and languishes near the lowest level since May 2020 touched the previous day. Spot prices remain on the defensive below the 0.6000 psychological mark through the early European session and seem vulnerable to sliding further.
Signs of stability in the financial markets seem to undermine the safe-haven US dollar and offer some support to the risk-sensitive. That said, firming expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates at a faster pace to tame inflation acts as a tailwind for the greenback and continues to cap the NZD/USD pair.
The markets were quick to react and started pricing in the possibility of a full 1% rate hike at the September FOMC meeting following the release of stronger US consumer inflation data on Tuesday. This, in turn, pushed the yield on rate-sensitive two-year US government bonds to an almost 15-year high and should offer support to the buck.
The prospects for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed, along with COVID-19 curbs in China and the protracted Russia-Ukraine war, have been fueling recession fears. This might keep a lid on any optimistic move in the markets, which further favours the USD bulls and supports prospects for additional near-term losses for the NZD/USD pair.
Market participants now look forward to the US Producer Price Index (PPI), due for release later during the early North American session. Apart from this, the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment will influence the USD price dynamics. This, in turn, should allow traders to grab short-term opportunities around the NZD/USD pair.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
NZDUSD currently trading at 0.5992 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.5998 and is trading with a change of -0.1 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.5992 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0006 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.1000 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.5998 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.614, 50 SMA 0.6207, 100 SMA @ 0.6292 and 200 SMA @ 0.6536.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6140 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6207 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6292 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6536 |
The previous day high was 0.6162 while the previous day low was 0.5986. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6053, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6095, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.5935, 0.5873, 0.5759
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6111, 0.6224, 0.6287
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6162 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.5986 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6153 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.5996 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6470 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6101 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6053 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6095 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.5935 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.5873 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.5759 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6111 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6224 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6287 |
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