#GBPUSD @ 1.15061 licks its wounds after falling the most since early May., @nehcap view: Further weakness expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD licks its wounds after falling the most since early May.
- Clear U-turn from 21-DMA, two-month-old horizontal resistance keeps bears hopeful.
- Yearly low can restrict immediate downside ahead of 61.8% FE of August-September moves.
The pair currently trades last at 1.15061.
The previous day high was 1.1738 while the previous day low was 1.1492. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1586, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1644, expected to provide resistance.
GBP/USD struggles to defend the corrective pullback from the weekly low, retreating to 1.1500 during Wednesday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Cable pair portrays the trader’s bearish bias ahead of the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. It’s worth noting that the US inflation data triggered the quote’s biggest daily loss in 2.5 months the previous day.
Given the quote’s sustained pullback from the 21-DMA, around 1.1670 by the press time, could with the impending bear cross of the MACD, the GBP/USD sellers are likely to keep the reins.
Even if the quote crosses the 1.1670 DMA hurdle, a two-month-old horizontal resistance area near 1.1740-60 could challenge the pair buyers before giving them control.
Following that, a run-up towards the late August swing high around 1.1900 can’t be ruled out.
Alternatively, the previous day’s bottom around 1.1490 and the yearly low near 1.1400 appear the immediate supports for the GBP/USD bears to watch during the quote’s further weakness.
However, a clear downside break of the 1.1400 threshold won’t hesitate to aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of August-September moves, near 1.1270.
Also read: GBP/USD oscillates below 1.1500 ahead of UK Inflation
Trend: Further weakness expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1504 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1493 and is trading with a change of 0.10% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1504 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0011 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.10% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1493 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.1683, 50 SMA 1.1902, 100 SMA @ 1.2138 and 200 SMA @ 1.2731.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1683 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1902 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2138 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2731 |
The previous day high was 1.1738 while the previous day low was 1.1492. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1586, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1644, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.141, 1.1328, 1.1164
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1656, 1.182, 1.1903
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1738 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1492 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1648 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1405 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2294 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1599 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1586 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1644 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1410 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1328 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1164 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1656 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1820 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1903 |
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