#GBPUSD @ 1.17100 gains traction for the third straight day and climbs to a nearly two-week high. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD gains traction for the third straight day and climbs to a nearly two-week high.
- The prevalent USD selling bias and the upbeat UK employment data remain supportive.
- The uptick lacks bullish conviction as traders now await the release of the US CPI report.
The pair currently trades last at 1.17100.
The previous day high was 1.171 while the previous day low was 1.1591. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1665, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1637, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair builds on its recent recovery move from the lowest level since 1985 and gains traction for the third successive day on Tuesday. The momentum lifts the pair to a nearly two-week high, around the 1.1730-1.1735 region during the first half of the European session and is sponsored by sustained selling around the US dollar.
The US dollar remains depressed near the monthly low touched the previous day amid signs of a sustained decline in US inflation. In fact, a survey released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Monday showed that consumer expectations for US inflation over the coming years declined sharply to the lowest level since October 2021. This, along with a modest downtick in the US Treasury bond yields and a generally positive risk tone, weighs on the greenback and acts as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair.
The British pound is further underpinned by mostly upbeat UK employment figures, showing that the jobless rate fell to the lowest level since 1975 and came in at 3.6% during the three months to July. Adding to this, average weekly earnings surpassed expectations and raised the risk of wage inflation. This might force the Bank of England to tighten its monetary policy at a faster pace, which is seen as another factor that impressed bullish traders and provided an additional lift to the GBP/USD pair.
The intraday positive move, however, lacks strong follow-through buying amid some nervousness ahead of the US consumer inflation figures, due for release later during the early North American session. The crucial US CPI report will play a key role in influencing the Fed’s policy outlook and dictate the near-term trajectory for the greenback. This, in turn, should allow traders to grab short-term opportunities around the GBP/USD pair ahead of the UK consumer inflation figures on Wednesday.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1711 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1686 and is trading with a change of 0.21 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1711 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0025 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.2100 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1686 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.1713, 50 SMA 1.1911, 100 SMA @ 1.2149 and 200 SMA @ 1.2739.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1713 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1911 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2149 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2739 |
The previous day high was 1.171 while the previous day low was 1.1591. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1665, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1637, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.1615, 1.1544, 1.1496
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1734, 1.1782, 1.1853
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1710 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1591 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1648 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1405 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2294 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1599 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1665 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1637 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1615 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1544 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1496 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1734 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1782 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1853 |
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