#AUDJPY @ 97.4990 has picked bids around 97.20 on higher consensus for the Australian labor market. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDJPY @ 97.4990 has picked bids around 97.20 on higher consensus for the Australian labor market. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/JPY has picked bids around 97.20 on higher consensus for the Australian labor market.
  • The Australian economy is expected to disclose job additions against lay-offs reported for July.
  • Widening RBA-BOJ policy divergence will send the AUD/JPY towards 100.00.

The pair currently trades last at 97.4990.

The previous day high was 98.44 while the previous day low was 97.05. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 97.91, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 97.58, expected to provide resistance.

The AUD/JPY pair has sensed a decent buying interest after hitting a low of 97.20 in the late New York session. The risk barometer is aiming higher and will regain the bullish trajectory after overstepping the critical hurdle of 98.00. On Tuesday, the cross witnessed a steep fall after failing to cross the crucial resistance of 98.50 despite multiple attempts. The selling pressure faced by the aussie bulls is a short-term phenomenon as the cross is in a bull trend after demolishing the volatility contraction pattern on a higher timeframe.

The next trigger which will bring fireworks to the asset will be the Australian employment data, which will release on Thursday. As per the consensus, the Australian Bureau of Statistics will report an addition in job additions data by 35k against a lay-off of 40.9k payrolls. This will strengthen the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) in hiking interest rates further. Also, the Unemployment Rate is seen steady at 3.4%.

Apart from the employment data, Consumer Inflation Expectation will be released by the University of Melbourne, which is a significant inflation indicator. The economic data is expected to land significantly higher at 6.7% vs. the 5.9% reported earlier. This will force RBA Governor Philip Lowe to announce a fifth consecutive 50 basis points (bps) rate hike in its October monetary policy meeting.

On the Tokyo front, the Industrial production data will be keenly watched on Wednesday. The economic data is expected to remain stable at -1.8% and 1% on an annual and monthly basis respectively. The AUD/JPY pair is bound to hit the psychological resistance of 100.00 in the upcoming trading sessions as RBA-Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy divergence is expected to widen further on soaring price pressures in the Australian region.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDJPY currently trading at 97.56 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 98.43 and is trading with a change of -0.88 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 97.56
1 Today Daily Change -0.87
2 Today Daily Change % -0.88
3 Today daily open 98.43

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 95.46, 50 SMA 94.43, 100 SMA @ 93.45 and 200 SMA @ 89.43.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 95.46
1 Daily SMA50 94.43
2 Daily SMA100 93.45
3 Daily SMA200 89.43

The previous day high was 98.44 while the previous day low was 97.05. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 97.91, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 97.58, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 97.5, 96.58, 96.11
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 98.89, 99.36, 100.29
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 98.44
Previous Daily Low 97.05
Previous Weekly High 97.92
Previous Weekly Low 95.03
Previous Monthly High 96.20
Previous Monthly Low 90.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 97.91
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 97.58
Daily Pivot Point S1 97.50
Daily Pivot Point S2 96.58
Daily Pivot Point S3 96.11
Daily Pivot Point R1 98.89
Daily Pivot Point R2 99.36
Daily Pivot Point R3 100.29

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