#AUDJPY @ 97.5500 is marching towards 98.00 on higher consensus for Australian employment data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDJPY @ 97.5500 is marching towards 98.00 on higher consensus for Australian employment data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/JPY is marching towards 98.00 on higher consensus for Australian employment data.
  • Australian Employment Change is seen extremely higher at 50k against job layouts of 40.9k.
  • RBA’s fourth rate hike by 50 bps poured fresh blood into the aussie bulls.

The pair currently trades last at 97.5500.

The previous day high was 97.92 while the previous day low was 97.07. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 97.59, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 97.4, expected to provide support.

The AUD/JPY pair has displayed a powerful rebound after a gap down opening around 97.00 on Monday. The asset is advancing firmly towards the immediate hurdle of 98.00 amid an overall bullish bias towards the risk barometer. Broadly, a break above 94.80-96.10 has already strengthened the aussie bulls.

The antipodean witnessed buying interest from the market participants after the announcement of an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). RBA Governor Philip Lowe went hawkish and announced a hike by 50 basis points (bps) consecutively for the fourth time to address its foremost priority of scaling down price pressures. Currently, RBA’s Official Cash Rate (OCR) stands at 2.35%.

The central bank has set a target for interest rate elevation and has forecasted the area where inflationary pressures will find their peak. The RBA is looking to escalate its OCR further to 3.85%. Also, the inflation rate will top around 7%. It is worth noting that the inflation rate for the second quarter of CY2022 has been recorded at 6.1%.

Going forward, the Australian employment data will hog the limelight. As per the consensus, the Unemployment Rate is expected to remain stable at 3.4%. The show stopper data will be Employment Change, which is seen extremely higher at 50k against job cuts of 40.9k.

On the Tokyo front, the upbeat Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data failed to bring meaningful strength to the yen bulls. The Japanese GDP data landed at 0.9%, higher than the forecasts of 0.7% and the prior release of 0.5%. Also, the annual data improved meaningfully to 3.5% against the expectations and the prior print of 2.9% and 2.2% respectively.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDJPY currently trading at 97.7 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 97.5 and is trading with a change of 0.21 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 97.70
1 Today Daily Change 0.20
2 Today Daily Change % 0.21
3 Today daily open 97.50

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 95.22, 50 SMA 94.32, 100 SMA @ 93.38 and 200 SMA @ 89.34.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 95.22
1 Daily SMA50 94.32
2 Daily SMA100 93.38
3 Daily SMA200 89.34

The previous day high was 97.92 while the previous day low was 97.07. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 97.59, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 97.4, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 97.08, 96.65, 96.23
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 97.92, 98.34, 98.77
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 97.92
Previous Daily Low 97.07
Previous Weekly High 97.92
Previous Weekly Low 95.03
Previous Monthly High 96.20
Previous Monthly Low 90.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 97.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 97.40
Daily Pivot Point S1 97.08
Daily Pivot Point S2 96.65
Daily Pivot Point S3 96.23
Daily Pivot Point R1 97.92
Daily Pivot Point R2 98.34
Daily Pivot Point R3 98.77

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