#USDCAD @ 1.31675 reaction was muted, with the pair seesawing in the 1.3160-1.3201 range, on the BoC decision. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/CAD reaction was muted, with the pair seesawing in the 1.3160-1.3201 range, on the BoC decision.
- The Bank of Canada opened the door for further hikes as core inflation continued broadening.
- Fed’s Mester: To decide the size of the hike in the September meeting.
The pair currently trades last at 1.31675.
The previous day high was 1.317 while the previous day low was 1.3096. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3142, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3125, expected to provide support.
The USD/CAD is soaring despite the recent decision of the Bank of Canada to hike rates by 75 bps, from 2.50% to 3.25%, amidst a mixed market sentiment, with most global equities tumbling, except for US stocks. At the time of writing, the USD/CAD edges up 0.18%, trading at 1.3173, above its opening price.
The Loonie failed to gain traction after the BoC decided to hike rates. The central bank noted that they would need to rise further, given the inflation outlook. According to the BoC, core inflation continues broadening, particularly in services, reiterating its commitment to price stability and adding that it would take action as required to achieve the 2% goal.
The USD/CAD seesawed on the headlines, edging towards 1.3163 and then surging to 1.3201 before stabilizing at current exchange rates.
In the meantime, the Canadian economic docket also revealed the Ivey Purchasing Managers Index for August, which came at 60.9, seasonally adjusted, whine unadjusted rose by 57.1.
At the same time, the Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester was crossing newswires. Mester said that the last labor market report flashed signs of moderation. She added that markets need to focus on the path of interest rates rather than “one particular meeting.” Furthermore expressed that she will decide the size of rate hikes in the September meeting, and she’s not convinced that inflation has peaked yet.
Earlier, the US trade deficit narrowed in July, as exports recorded a high, which could see trade continuing to contribute to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the third quarter.
On Thursday, an absent Canadian economic docket would leave traders lying on the dynamics of the greenback. The US calendar will release Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on September 3, alongside Fed speakers led by Chairman Jerome Powell. Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and Minnesota’s Neil Kashkari.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCAD currently trading at 1.3173 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.3154 and is trading with a change of 0.24 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.3173 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0031 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.2400 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.3154 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2984, 50 SMA 1.2943, 100 SMA @ 1.2878 and 200 SMA @ 1.2781.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2984 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2943 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2878 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2781 |
The previous day high was 1.317 while the previous day low was 1.3096. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3142, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3125, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.311, 1.3066, 1.3036
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.3184, 1.3214, 1.3258
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.3170 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.3096 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.3208 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.2972 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.3141 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.2728 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.3142 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.3125 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.3110 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.3066 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.3036 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.3184 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.3214 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.3258 |
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