#AUDJPY @ 96.3680 is eyeing a fresh seven-year high at 97.00 as RBA-BOJ policy divergence widens. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/JPY is eyeing a fresh seven-year high at 97.00 as RBA-BOJ policy divergence widens.
- Investors should brace for upbeat Australian GDP data ahead.
- A decline in households’ consumption indicates a loss of consumer confidence in the Japanese economy.
The pair currently trades last at 96.3680.
The previous day high was 95.61 while the previous day low was 95.03. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 95.39, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 95.25, expected to provide support.
The AUD/JPY pair is aiming to refresh its seven-year high at around 97.00 as a rate hike announcement by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday has widened RBA-Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy divergence. On one side, where the Australian Economy is facing the headwinds of soaring price pressures, the Japanese economy is struggling to elevate the inflation rate led by a slowdown in the overall demand.
On Tuesday, RBA Governor Philip Lowe announced a fourth consecutive rate hike by 50 basis points (bps). Australia’s Official Cash Rate (OCR) now stands at 2.35%. As price pressures have been recorded at 6.1% for the second quarter of CY2022, a spree of rate hikes is highly expected by the RBA. Adding to that, the Australian inflation rate has not revealed signs of exhaustion yet.
In today’s session, investors’ entire focus will remain on the Australian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. The Australian economy is expected to grow by 1% on a quarterly basis vs. 0.8% recorded in the prior quarter. Also, the yearly data is expected to improve to 3.5% vs. the 3.3% recorded earlier. An occurrence of the same will strengthen the aussie bulls further.
Meanwhile, yen bulls are worried over a decline in the consumption of Japanese households. The Overall Household Spending data released on Tuesday is indicating a decent drop in the households’ demand. The economic data landed at 3.4%, lower than the expectations of 4.2% and the prior release of 3.5%. This indicates households’ pessimism in the Japanese economy and also lower expenditure by the former may restrict the inflation rate.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDJPY currently trading at 96.3 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 95.57 and is trading with a change of 0.76 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 96.30 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.73 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.76 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 95.57 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 94.69, 50 SMA 94.03, 100 SMA @ 93.28 and 200 SMA @ 89.0.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 94.69 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 94.03 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 93.28 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 89.00 |
The previous day high was 95.61 while the previous day low was 95.03. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 95.39, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 95.25, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 95.2, 94.82, 94.62
- Pivot resistance is noted at 95.78, 95.98, 96.36
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 95.61 |
| Previous Daily Low | 95.03 |
| Previous Weekly High | 96.20 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 94.71 |
| Previous Monthly High | 96.20 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 90.52 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 95.39 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 95.25 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 95.20 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 94.82 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 94.62 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 95.78 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 95.98 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 96.36 |
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