#GBPJPY @ 161.811 Liz Truss wins Conservative Party leadership battle. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Liz Truss wins Conservative Party leadership battle.
- UK data: S&P Global Service PMI for August revised lower.
- Yen remains under pressure, despite risk aversion.
The pair currently trades last at 161.811.
The previous day high was 162.5 while the previous day low was 161.16. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 161.67, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 161.98, expected to provide resistance.
The GBP/JPY cross turned positive for the day and erased losses, after recovering from the lowest level in almost three weeks. It bottomed at the beginning of the week at 160.63 and recently hit a fresh daily high at 161.91.
The recovery of the cross took place as GBP/USD moved off multi-year lows and as USD/JPP climbed back to the 140.50 area. The yen remains weak even as European stocks drop sharply.
The pound was unaffected following the result of the Tory race that offered no surprises. Liz Truss will become the next prime minister. “I will deliver a bold plan to cut taxes and grow our economy”, said Truss in brief acceptance speech. Regarding the energy crisis she said she will deal “with people’s energy bills but also dealing with the long-term issues we have on energy supply.”
Truss will become PM on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Bank of England’s official will testify to a Treasury Committee at the Parliament. Over the next days, market participants will keep an eye on Truss’s comments on BoE’s mandate.
On economic data, the UK S&P Global Service PMI came in at 50.9 in August, below the 52.5 of the flash estimate.
Technically, GBP/JPY is moving sideways around 161.50 since mid-August. A close below 161.00 should point to more losses while on the upside, a break above 162.50 would increase the odds of a more sustainable recovery targeting 164.00 initially.
Technical levels
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPJPY currently trading at 161.71 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 161.39 and is trading with a change of 0.2 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 161.71 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.32 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.20 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 161.39 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 162.01, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 163.13 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 163.0 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 159.32
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 162.01 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 163.13 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 163.00 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 159.32 |
The previous day high was 162.5 while the previous day low was 161.16. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 161.67, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 161.98, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 160.86, 160.34, 159.52
- Pivot resistance is noted at 162.2, 163.02, 163.54
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 162.50 |
| Previous Daily Low | 161.16 |
| Previous Weekly High | 162.65 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 160.90 |
| Previous Monthly High | 163.99 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 159.45 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 161.67 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 161.98 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 160.86 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 160.34 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 159.52 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 162.20 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 163.02 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 163.54 |
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