#XAGUSD @ 17706 Silver continues drifting lower for the fifth straight day and hits over a two-year low on Thursday, Pivot Orderbook analysis
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- Silver continues drifting lower for the fifth straight day and hits over a two-year low on Thursday.
- A convincing break and acceptance below the $18.00 mark support prospects for further losses.
- A slightly oversold RSI (14) on the daily charts warrants caution for aggressive bearish traders.
The pair currently trades last at 17.706.
The previous day high was 18.55 while the previous day low was 17.94. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 18.17, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 18.31, expected to provide resistance.
Silver is prolonging a nearly three-week-old bearish trend and losing ground for the fifth successive day on Thursday. The downward trajectory extends through the first half of the European session and drags the white metal to the $17.65 area, or its lowest level since June 2020.
Given the overnight break through the previous YTD low, subsequent weakness and acceptance below the $18.00 round figure favour bearish traders. That said, RSI (14) on the daily chart is already flashing oversold conditions and makes it prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation before the next leg down.
Nevertheless, the XAG/USD seems poised to extend the bearish trajectory and aim toward testing the $17.00 round-figure mark. Some follow-through selling has the potential to drag spot prices further towards the next relevant support near the $16.60-$16.50 horizontal zone.
On the flip side, any attempted recovery might confront resistance and attract fresh sellers near the $18.00 mark. This, in turn, should cap the XAG/USD near the $18.15-$18.25 support breakpoint, now turned stiff barrier. The latter should now act as a pivotal point, which if cleared might trigger a short-covering bounce.
The XAG/USD might then accelerate the move towards the $18.70-$18.75 intermediate resistance, above which bulls might aim to reclaim the $19.00 mark. Some follow-through buying will suggest that spot prices have formed a near-term bottom and set the stage for some meaningful recovery in the near term.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAGUSD currently trading at 17.7 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 18.0 and is trading with a change of -1.67 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 17.70 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.30 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -1.67 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 18.00 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 19.62, 50 SMA 19.58, 100 SMA @ 21.02 and 200 SMA @ 22.36.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 19.62 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 19.58 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 21.02 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 22.36 |
The previous day high was 18.55 while the previous day low was 17.94. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 18.17, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 18.31, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 17.77, 17.55, 17.17
- Pivot resistance is noted at 18.38, 18.77, 18.99
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 18.55 |
| Previous Daily Low | 17.94 |
| Previous Weekly High | 19.43 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 18.72 |
| Previous Monthly High | 20.88 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 17.94 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 18.17 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 18.31 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 17.77 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 17.55 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 17.17 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 18.38 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 18.77 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 18.99 |
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