#XAUUSD @ 1750.50 -imp levels: Gold stalls the intraday decline following the release of softer US PCE data.
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- Gold stalls the intraday decline following the release of softer US PCE data.
- The USD refreshes the weekly low and offers some support to the commodity.
- Elevated US bond yields to cap the upside ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s speech.
The pair currently trades last at 1750.50.
The previous day high was 1765.51 while the previous day low was 1750.0. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1759.59, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1755.92, expected to provide resistance.
Gold continues losing ground through the early North American session, albeit rebounds from the daily low in reaction to softer US economic data. The XAU/USD is currently trading just above the $1,750 level, still down nearly 0.50% for the day.
The US dollar turns lower for the second straight day on Friday and drops to a fresh weekly low, which, in turn, offers support to the dollar-denominated gold. The USD witnessed some selling in the last hour after the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index declined to 6.3% in July from 6.8% in June.
Excluding volatile food and energy prices, the Core PCE Price Index, which is Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, eased further from the 40-year high and fell to 4.6%, missing the 4.7% print estimated. The data points to signs of easing inflation in the US and dampens the prospects for more aggressive Fed rate hikes, which, in turn, exert pressure on the greenback.
The US central bank, however, is still expected to hike interest rates by at least 50 bps at the next policy meeting in September. The bets were reaffirmed by hawkish comments by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, stressing the need for further policy tightening to get inflation under control.
This remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields. In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond manages to hold above the 3.0% threshold, which might keep a lid on any meaningful upside for the non-yielding gold. Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive bets ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s highly-anticipated speech.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1750.95 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1758.68 and is trading with a change of -0.44 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1750.95 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -7.73 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.44 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1758.68 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1770.83, 50 SMA 1767.79, 100 SMA @ 1822.1 and 200 SMA @ 1838.01.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1770.83 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1767.79 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1822.10 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1838.01 |
The previous day high was 1765.51 while the previous day low was 1750.0. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1759.59, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1755.92, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1750.62, 1742.55, 1735.11
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1766.13, 1773.57, 1781.64
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1765.51 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1750.00 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1802.51 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1745.63 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1814.37 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1680.91 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1759.59 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1755.92 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1750.62 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1742.55 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1735.11 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1766.13 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1773.57 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1781.64 |
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